Elite Club Friendlies
Monaco vs Cercle Brugge Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals2.19 – 1.09
Avg goals3.28
Our pickHome
Monaco 62%
Draw 22%
Cercle Brugge 17%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 62% | 1.63 | 1.44 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 83% | 1.20 | 1.12 |
| Goals | 3.25 | Under | 53% | 1.88 | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 60% | 1.67 | 1.67 |
| Asian handicap | -1.25 | Away | 56% | 1.80 | 1.85 |
| Corners | 8.5 | Over +9% Value | 60% | 1.65 | 1.80 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 +9% Value | 10% | 10.13 | 11.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.44 · Draw 5.00 · Away 4.50 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
| Asian handicap -1 | Home 1.95 · Away 1.85 |
| Corners 8.5 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
9.2
Expected corners
Monaco corner stats · Cercle Brugge corner stats
Corner line 8.50
Over 60%
Under 40%
Match trends
- Monaco win 4.86 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.47 over their last 51.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 47% of Monaco matches.
- Across 38 recent matches, Cercle Brugge games produced 10.97 corners on average — 5.34 taken by Cercle Brugge themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 71% of Cercle Brugge matches.
- Games involving Monaco produce 3.37 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 67%.
- Cercle Brugge matches average 3.11 goals, with both teams scoring in 68% of them.
- Across their previous 6 meetings, these sides averaged 3 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 6 meetings with corner data averaged 9.2 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.25 (53%).
Monaco — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | L Sporting | 0–2 | 0–5 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | W Saint Priest | 5–2 | 8–2 |
| 2026-05-18 | A | L Strasbourg | 4–5 | 6–4 |
| 2026-05-11 | H | L Lille | 0–1 | 5–2 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | W Metz | 2–1 | 9–5 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | D Toulouse | 2–2 | 2–4 |
| 2026-04-19 | H | D Auxerre | 2–2 | 11–3 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | L Paris FC | 1–4 | 11–1 |
| 2026-04-06 | H | W Marseille | 2–1 | 0–8 |
| 2026-03-22 | A | W Lyon | 2–1 | 6–2 |
Cercle Brugge — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | H | D Lommel | 1–1 | 6–0 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | L RAAL La Louviere | 1–4 | 5–6 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | L Zulte-Waregem | 2–3 | 6–7 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | W Dender | 2–1 | 7–6 |
| 2026-04-19 | A | W Dender | 4–1 | 6–4 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | W RAAL La Louviere | 3–0 | 9–5 |
| 2026-04-04 | A | D Zulte-Waregem | 2–2 | 3–8 |
| 2026-03-23 | A | W Anderlecht | 3–2 | 7–8 |
| 2026-03-16 | H | L RAAL La Louviere | 1–3 | 5–7 |
| 2026-03-09 | A | L Sint-Truidense | 1–2 | 5–7 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Monaco vs Cercle Brugge?
- Our model gives Monaco a 62% chance, the draw 22% and Cercle Brugge 17%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Monaco vs Cercle Brugge?
- The corner model projects 9.2 total corners. Over 8.50 corners is rated at 60% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.