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Venezuela Primera Division

Monagas vs Deportivo La Guaira Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals0.96 – 1.33
Avg goals2.29
Our pickAway
Monagas 26% Draw 30% Deportivo La Guaira 44%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 44% 2.29 2.15
Double chance – Draw or away 74% 1.35 1.25
Goals 2.5 Under 60% 1.67 1.80
Both teams to score – No 53% 1.88 1.83
Corners 9.5 Under 69% 1.46 1.95
Correct score – 1-1 14% 7.03 6.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 3.20  ·  Draw 3.00  ·  Away 2.15
Goals 2.25 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80
Corners 8 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

3.2 Monagas
8.0 Expected corners
4.7 Deportivo La Guaira

Monagas corner stats · Deportivo La Guaira corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 31% Under 69%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 8 corners here; Monagas are forecast for 3.2.
  • Monagas win 2.79 corners per game, with match totals averaging 7.70 over their last 33.
  • Monagas games clear the 9.5 corner line 24% of the time.
  • Across 47 recent matches, Deportivo La Guaira games produced 8.32 corners on average — 4.87 taken by Deportivo La Guaira themselves.
  • Deportivo La Guaira games clear the 9.5 corner line 34% of the time.
  • Monagas matches average 2.73 goals, with both teams scoring in 55% of them.
  • Games involving Deportivo La Guaira produce 2.15 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 49%.
  • The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.1 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 9.7 across their last 10 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 60% probability.

Monagas — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-04-26 H D Academia Puerto Cabello 1–1 1–10
2026-04-20 A L Estudiantes Merida 2–3 3–4
2026-04-12 H W Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 3–0 5–2
2026-04-05 A L Zamora 1–2 1–4
2026-03-23 H D Caracas 1–1 0–7
2026-03-19 A L Metropolitanos FC 0–1 4–1
2026-03-15 H W Academia Anzoategui FC 1–0 0–5
2026-03-09 H W Trujillanos 3–1 4–3
2026-03-04 A D Academia Puerto Cabello 0–0 2–3
2026-02-28 A L Portuguesa FC 0–4 2–4

Deportivo La Guaira — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-05-31 H L Academia Puerto Cabello 0–2 6–6
2026-05-28 A L Fluminense 1–3 1–2
2026-05-24 A W Portuguesa FC 2–0 7–6
2026-05-22 H L Independiente Rivadavia 2–4 7–1
2026-05-16 H D UCV 0–0 3–4
2026-05-13 A D UCV 1–1 7–6
2026-05-10 H D Portuguesa FC 1–1 10–0
2026-05-07 H D Bolivar 1–1 6–7
2026-05-03 A D Academia Puerto Cabello 1–1 2–4
2026-05-01 A L Independiente Rivadavia 1–4 2–4

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Monagas vs Deportivo La Guaira?
Our model gives Monagas a 26% chance, the draw 30% and Deportivo La Guaira 44%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Monagas vs Deportivo La Guaira?
The corner model projects 8.0 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 31% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.