Spain Copa Federacion
Montaneros vs Bergantinos Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
FT 1–3 (HT 0–1)
Corners5–5
Yellow cards1–1
Shots on target4–5
Shots off target6–4
Attacks72–70
Dangerous attacks58–51
Possession0%–0%
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.40 – 1.40
Avg goals2.79
Our pickHome
Montaneros 36%
Draw 28%
Bergantinos 36%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home +45% Value | 36% | 2.76 | 4.00 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 72% | 1.38 | 1.21 |
| Goals | 2.75 | Under | 53% | 1.89 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Asian handicap | 0.75 | Home +26% Value | 71% | 1.42 | 1.83 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 59% | 1.70 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.62 | 7.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 4.00 · Draw 3.50 · Away 1.73 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
| Asian handicap 0.75 | Home 1.83 · Away 1.98 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.6
Montaneros
8.6
Expected corners
4.0
Bergantinos
Montaneros corner stats · Bergantinos corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 41%
Under 59%
Match trends
- Our model projects 8.6 corners in this match, with Montaneros winning 4.6 of them.
- Across 26 recent matches, Montaneros games produced 8.81 corners on average — 4.19 taken by Montaneros themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 42% of Montaneros matches.
- Bergantinos matches average 8.88 total corners (4.03 won per game) across their last 40 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 40% of Bergantinos matches.
- Games involving Montaneros produce 2.65 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 62%.
- Bergantinos matches average 2.43 goals, with both teams scoring in 48% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.75 (53%).
Montaneros — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | H | L Bergantinos | 1–3 | 5–5 |
| 2026-05-04 | A | L CD Boiro | 1–3 | 4–7 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | D CD Barco | 0–0 | 1–1 |
| 2026-04-20 | A | D Compostela | 2–2 | 8–8 |
| 2026-04-12 | H | L CD Estradense | 0–1 | 7–2 |
| 2026-03-29 | H | W Viveiro CF | 3–2 | 3–6 |
| 2026-03-22 | H | L Arosa | 0–1 | 5–4 |
| 2026-03-19 | A | L Atletico Arteixo | 2–3 | 4–4 |
| 2026-03-15 | H | W CF Noia | 3–0 | 3–2 |
| 2026-03-08 | A | D Racing Club Villalbes | 2–2 | 4–7 |
Bergantinos — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | A | W Montaneros | 3–1 | 5–5 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | W UD Samano | 5–0 | 3–3 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | L UD Ourense | 1–3 | 7–4 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | W Real Oviedo Vetusta | 2–1 | 5–7 |
| 2026-04-13 | H | L SD Sarriana | 0–1 | 10–4 |
| 2026-04-05 | A | W Valladolid Promesas | 4–3 | 8–10 |
| 2026-03-29 | H | L Coruxo | 0–1 | 10–0 |
| 2026-03-23 | A | D Salamanca CF UDS | 0–0 | 1–5 |
| 2026-03-16 | H | W Lealtad | 3–0 | 5–3 |
| 2026-03-09 | A | L Burgos Promesas | 0–1 | 3–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Montaneros vs Bergantinos?
- Our model gives Montaneros a 36% chance, the draw 28% and Bergantinos 36%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Montaneros vs Bergantinos?
- The corner model projects 8.6 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 41% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.