MathPredictions

Japan J2-League

Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-112%2-19%1-28%
Expected goals1.47 – 1.41
Avg goals2.88
Our pickHome
Montedio Yamagata 38% Draw 26% Tochigi City 36%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Home 38% 2.61 2.50
Double chance Home or away 74% 1.35 1.31
Goals 2.5 Over +7% Value 55% 1.82 2.03
Both teams to score Yes 59% 1.70 1.73
Asian handicap 0 Home 52% 1.94 1.83
Corners 10.5 Under 53% 1.89 1.98
Correct score 1-1 12% 8.26 6.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.50  ·  Draw 3.25  ·  Away 2.75
Goals 2.5 Over 2.03  ·  Under 1.78
Asian handicap 0 Home 1.83  ·  Away 1.98
Corners 10 Over 1.83  ·  Under 1.98

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.3 Montedio Yamagata
10.3 Expected corners
5.9 Tochigi City
Corner line 10.50
Over 47% Under 53%

Match trends

Montedio Yamagata — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 A L Albirex Niigata 0–1 5–4
2026-07-25 A W Albirex Niigata 4–3 7–8
2026-06-07 A L Oita 0–1 5–6
2026-05-31 H D Matsumoto Y FC 1–1 7–6
2026-05-24 H W Shonan Bellmare 3–1 3–5
2026-05-16 A L Tochigi City 0–3 3–6
2026-05-10 H L Sagamihara 2–3 2–6
2026-05-06 H L Thespa Gunma 1–2 5–3
2026-05-03 H D Tochigi SC 2–2 3–8
2026-04-29 A L Blaublitz Akita 0–2 3–5

Tochigi City — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-06-06 H W Reilac Shiga 3–1 5–5
2026-05-30 H D Jubilo Iwata 2–2 7–4
2026-05-24 A L Blaublitz Akita 0–1 3–4
2026-05-16 H W Montedio Yamagata 3–0 6–3
2026-05-09 A D Thespa Gunma 0–0 8–3
2026-05-06 H D Yokohama FC 2–2 4–2
2026-05-02 A W Shonan Bellmare 2–1 4–6
2026-04-29 A L Sagamihara 0–1 10–5
2026-04-25 H W Tochigi SC 2–1 4–6
2026-04-18 A L Vegalta Sendai 0–5 2–7

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City?
Our model gives Montedio Yamagata a 38% chance, the draw 26% and Tochigi City 36%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City?
The corner model projects 10.3 total corners. Over 10.50 corners is rated at 47% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.