Uruguay Torneo Intermedio
Montevideo City Torque vs Montevideo Wanderers Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.64 – 0.97
Avg goals2.61
Our pickHome
Montevideo City Torque 52%
Draw 27%
Montevideo Wanderers 21%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 52% | 1.93 | 1.80 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 79% | 1.27 | 1.18 |
| Goals | 2.25 | Over | 56% | 1.79 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 51% | 1.95 | 1.91 |
| Asian handicap | -0.5 | Home | 52% | 1.93 | 1.90 |
| Corners | 9 | Over +10% Value | 61% | 1.64 | 1.83 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.78 | 6.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.80 · Draw 3.40 · Away 4.50 |
| Goals 2.25 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
| Asian handicap -0.5 | Home 1.90 · Away 1.90 |
| Corners 9 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.9
Montevideo City Torque
9.8
Expected corners
3.9
Montevideo Wanderers
Montevideo City Torque corner stats · Montevideo Wanderers corner stats
Corner line 9.00
Over 61%
Under 39%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.8 corners here; Montevideo City Torque are forecast for 5.9.
- Montevideo City Torque win 5.20 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.41 over their last 46.
- Montevideo City Torque games clear the 9.5 corner line 52% of the time.
- Across 40 recent matches, Montevideo Wanderers games produced 8.85 corners on average — 4.15 taken by Montevideo Wanderers themselves.
- Montevideo Wanderers games clear the 9.5 corner line 35% of the time.
- Montevideo City Torque matches average 2.87 goals, with both teams scoring in 54% of them.
- Games involving Montevideo Wanderers produce 2.33 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 40%.
- The model leans Over 2.25 goals at 56% probability.
Montevideo City Torque — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | W Danubio | 1–0 | 4–4 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | W Juventud De Las Piedras | 3–1 | 7–3 |
| 2026-07-04 | A | L Bahia | 1–4 | 4–5 |
| 2026-06-07 | H | L Deportivo Maldonado | 2–4 | 7–1 |
| 2026-05-31 | A | W Albion FC | 2–1 | 11–4 |
| 2026-05-27 | A | D Gremio | 2–2 | 5–7 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | W Club Atletico Progreso | 2–1 | 6–3 |
| 2026-05-20 | H | W Deportivo Riestra | 4–1 | 8–8 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | L Nacional De Football | 1–2 | 3–7 |
| 2026-05-11 | H | W Club Atletico Progreso | 2–1 | 3–4 |
Montevideo Wanderers — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | A | W Nacional De Football | 2–1 | 3–10 |
| 2026-07-12 | H | W Club Atletico Progreso | 2–0 | 2–7 |
| 2026-06-06 | H | D Danubio | 0–0 | 2–8 |
| 2026-06-01 | A | W Juventud De Las Piedras | 5–2 | 6–0 |
| 2026-05-25 | H | D Deportivo Maldonado | 1–1 | 5–6 |
| 2026-05-18 | A | D Albion FC | 0–0 | 4–3 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | W Liverpool Montevideo | 1–0 | 4–4 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | L Juventud De Las Piedras | 1–2 | 3–2 |
| 2026-04-27 | H | W Penarol | 1–0 | 3–4 |
| 2026-04-19 | A | L Club Atletico Progreso | 1–2 | 5–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Montevideo City Torque vs Montevideo Wanderers?
- Our model gives Montevideo City Torque a 52% chance, the draw 27% and Montevideo Wanderers 21%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Montevideo City Torque vs Montevideo Wanderers?
- The corner model projects 9.8 total corners. Over 9.00 corners is rated at 61% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.