Scotland League One
Montrose vs Hamilton Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.36 – 1.61
Avg goals2.97
Our pickAway
Montrose 31%
Draw 26%
Hamilton 42%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 42% | 2.37 | 1.90 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 74% | 1.36 | 1.21 |
| Goals | 2.75 | Over | 52% | 1.94 | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 61% | 1.65 | 1.67 |
| Asian handicap | 0.5 | Home +5% Value | 58% | 1.73 | 1.80 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 53% | 1.91 | 2.00 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 12% | 8.10 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 3.30 · Draw 3.40 · Away 1.90 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
| Asian handicap 0.5 | Home 1.80 · Away 2.00 |
| Corners 9.5 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.1
Montrose
9.7
Expected corners
4.6
Hamilton
Montrose corner stats · Hamilton corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 53%
Under 48%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.7 corners here; Montrose are forecast for 5.1.
- Montrose win 4.53 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.37 over their last 51.
- Montrose games clear the 9.5 corner line 41% of the time.
- Across 54 recent matches, Hamilton games produced 9.43 corners on average — 4.52 taken by Hamilton themselves.
- Hamilton games clear the 9.5 corner line 46% of the time.
- Montrose matches average 3.22 goals, with both teams scoring in 65% of them.
- Games involving Hamilton produce 2.98 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 50%.
- The last 8 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.4 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 10.8 across their last 8 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 2.75 goals at 52% probability.
Montrose — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | L Spartans FC | 0–2 | 6–6 |
| 2026-07-22 | A | W Arbroath | 2–0 | 4–7 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | W Stirling | 2–0 | 8–2 |
| 2026-07-15 | H | W Dundee Utd | 1–0 | 6–12 |
| 2026-07-02 | H | D Civil Service Strollers | 1–1 | 6–2 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | D Forfar | 1–1 | 5–0 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | L Stenhousemuir | 0–2 | 7–2 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | D Queen of South | 2–2 | 2–2 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | L Hamilton | 0–2 | 5–14 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | L Kelty Hearts | 1–3 | 2–4 |
Hamilton — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | W Elgin | 5–0 | 9–3 |
| 2026-07-22 | A | L Kilmarnock | 0–1 | 3–6 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | D Raith | 1–1 | 2–2 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | W Peterhead | 1–0 | 2–3 |
| 2026-07-04 | A | W Haverfordwest | 4–0 | 2–2 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | D Raith | 2–2 | 5–5 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | W Clyde | 4–3 | 7–7 |
| 2026-05-13 | A | D Clyde | 1–1 | 5–5 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | W Forfar | 2–1 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-06 | A | W Forfar | 3–1 | 3–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Montrose vs Hamilton?
- Our model gives Montrose a 31% chance, the draw 26% and Hamilton 42%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Montrose vs Hamilton?
- The corner model projects 9.7 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 53% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.