MathPredictions

UK Friendlies

Morecambe vs Barrow Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.41 – 1.72
Avg goals3.14
Our pickAway
Morecambe 31% Draw 26% Barrow 44%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Away 44% 2.28 1.83
Double chance Home or away 74% 1.34 1.15
Goals 2.5 Over 61% 1.65 1.80
Both teams to score Yes 63% 1.58
Corners 9.5 Over 52% 1.94
Correct score 1-1 12% 8.59 8.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 3.10  ·  Draw 4.00  ·  Away 1.83
Goals 3 Over 1.80  ·  Under 2.00

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.1 Morecambe
9.6 Expected corners
5.6 Barrow
Corner line 9.50
Over 52% Under 48%

Match trends

Morecambe — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-29 H D AFC Fylde 1–1 4–7
2026-07-18 A W Bamber Bridge 3–0 3–3
2026-04-25 A L Forest Green 0–5 2–6
2026-04-18 H L Boreham Wood 0–3 6–7
2026-04-11 A L Woking 1–5 6–8
2026-04-06 H D Carlisle 2–2 2–4
2026-04-03 A W Rochdale 4–2 2–15
2026-03-28 H L Aldershot 0–2 5–6
2026-03-26 H L Hartlepool 2–3 7–6
2026-03-21 A L Yeovil 2–3 4–3

Barrow — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H W Blackpool 2–0 5–6
2026-07-22 A D Radcliffe FC 0–0 6–3
2026-07-11 H W Workington 2–0 11–1
2026-05-02 H L Newport County 1–2 6–4
2026-04-25 A L Cambridge Utd 0–3 4–10
2026-04-18 H L Walsall 1–3 5–3
2026-04-15 H W Oldham 3–2 7–4
2026-04-11 A L Barnet 2–3 0–8
2026-04-06 H L Chesterfield 0–1 1–12
2026-04-03 A D Milton Keynes Dons 0–0 1–6

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Morecambe vs Barrow?
Our model gives Morecambe a 31% chance, the draw 26% and Barrow 44%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Morecambe vs Barrow?
The corner model projects 9.6 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 52% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.