UK Friendlies
Morecambe vs Barrow Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.41 – 1.72
Avg goals3.14
Our pickAway
Morecambe 31%
Draw 26%
Barrow 44%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 44% | 2.28 | 1.83 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 74% | 1.34 | 1.15 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over | 61% | 1.65 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 63% | 1.58 | – |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 52% | 1.94 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 12% | 8.59 | 8.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 3.10 · Draw 4.00 · Away 1.83 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.1
Morecambe
9.6
Expected corners
5.6
Barrow
Morecambe corner stats · Barrow corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 52%
Under 48%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.6 corners here; Morecambe are forecast for 4.1.
- Morecambe win 4.08 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.76 over their last 51.
- Morecambe games clear the 9.5 corner line 63% of the time.
- Across 55 recent matches, Barrow games produced 10.05 corners on average — 4.58 taken by Barrow themselves.
- Barrow games clear the 9.5 corner line 58% of the time.
- Morecambe matches average 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 55% of them.
- Games involving Barrow produce 2.62 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 51%.
- The last 8 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.4 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 9.9 across their last 8 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 2.50 goals at 61% probability.
Morecambe — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | H | D AFC Fylde | 1–1 | 4–7 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | W Bamber Bridge | 3–0 | 3–3 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | L Forest Green | 0–5 | 2–6 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | L Boreham Wood | 0–3 | 6–7 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | L Woking | 1–5 | 6–8 |
| 2026-04-06 | H | D Carlisle | 2–2 | 2–4 |
| 2026-04-03 | A | W Rochdale | 4–2 | 2–15 |
| 2026-03-28 | H | L Aldershot | 0–2 | 5–6 |
| 2026-03-26 | H | L Hartlepool | 2–3 | 7–6 |
| 2026-03-21 | A | L Yeovil | 2–3 | 4–3 |
Barrow — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | W Blackpool | 2–0 | 5–6 |
| 2026-07-22 | A | D Radcliffe FC | 0–0 | 6–3 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | W Workington | 2–0 | 11–1 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | L Newport County | 1–2 | 6–4 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | L Cambridge Utd | 0–3 | 4–10 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | L Walsall | 1–3 | 5–3 |
| 2026-04-15 | H | W Oldham | 3–2 | 7–4 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | L Barnet | 2–3 | 0–8 |
| 2026-04-06 | H | L Chesterfield | 0–1 | 1–12 |
| 2026-04-03 | A | D Milton Keynes Dons | 0–0 | 1–6 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Morecambe vs Barrow?
- Our model gives Morecambe a 31% chance, the draw 26% and Barrow 44%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Morecambe vs Barrow?
- The corner model projects 9.6 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 52% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.