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Europe Friendlies

Moreirense vs Amarante Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.39 – 1.08
Avg goals2.46
Our pickHome
Moreirense 43% Draw 29% Amarante 28%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 43% 2.34 2.10
Double chance – Home or draw 72% 1.39 1.30
Goals 2.25 Over 52% 1.93 1.85
Both teams to score – Yes 51% 1.97 –
Asian handicap -0.25 Home 50% 2.00 1.90
Correct score – 1-1 14% 7.15 7.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.10  ·  Draw 3.40  ·  Away 2.90
Goals 2.25 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95
Asian handicap -0.25 Home 1.90  ·  Away 1.90

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Moreirense win 3.64 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.19 over their last 36.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 36% of Moreirense matches.
  • Across 35 recent matches, Amarante games produced 8.97 corners on average — 4.43 taken by Amarante themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 46% of Amarante matches.
  • Games involving Moreirense produce 2.33 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 44%.
  • Amarante matches average 2.17 goals, with both teams scoring in 49% of them.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.25 (52%).

Moreirense — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-05-16 H D AVS 0–0 5–3
2026-05-12 A L Tondela 0–2 8–1
2026-05-02 H W Estrela Amadora 3–2 1–4
2026-04-26 A L Benfica 1–4 2–9
2026-04-21 H W Estoril 1–0 5–1
2026-04-11 A D Famalicao 1–1 0–13
2026-04-05 H L Braga 0–1 4–9
2026-03-21 H L FC Arouca 0–1 3–7
2026-03-16 A L FC Porto 0–3 1–4
2026-03-07 H D Nacional 1–1 4–7

Amarante — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-05-16 A W Guimaraes B 3–1 3–6
2026-05-10 H W UD Santarem 1–0 6–3
2026-05-01 A D Trofense 0–0 5–3
2026-04-26 H D CF Os Belenenses 2–2 5–6
2026-04-19 A W CD Mafra 4–1 2–4
2026-04-13 A D Academica 1–1 2–4
2026-04-04 H W Varzim 1–0 7–1
2026-03-29 H D Academica 1–1 5–3
2026-03-22 H W Guimaraes B 2–1 7–8
2026-03-15 A W UD Santarem 2–1 7–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Moreirense vs Amarante?
Our model gives Moreirense a 43% chance, the draw 29% and Amarante 28%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.