Australia Queensland Premier League 2
Moreton City Excelsior B vs Virginia United Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals2.03 – 1.58
Avg goals3.61
Our pickHome
Moreton City Excelsior B 48%
Draw 23%
Virginia United 29%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 48% | 2.10 | 1.80 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 77% | 1.30 | 1.15 |
| Goals | 3.75 | Under +7% Value | 57% | 1.76 | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 70% | 1.43 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.5 | Away | 52% | 1.91 | 1.98 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 69% | 1.46 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 10% | 10.46 | 10.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.80 · Draw 4.10 · Away 3.20 |
| Goals 3.75 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
| Asian handicap -0.5 | Home 1.83 · Away 1.98 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
6.2
Moreton City Excelsior B
11.2
Expected corners
5.1
Virginia United
Moreton City Excelsior B corner stats · Virginia United corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 69%
Under 31%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 11.2 corners here; Moreton City Excelsior B are forecast for 6.2.
- Across 14 recent matches, Moreton City Excelsior B games produced 10.64 corners on average — 6.36 taken by Moreton City Excelsior B themselves.
- Moreton City Excelsior B games clear the 9.5 corner line 57% of the time.
- Virginia United matches average 11.00 total corners (5.74 won per game) across their last 19 with corner data.
- Virginia United games clear the 9.5 corner line 58% of the time.
- Moreton City Excelsior B matches average 4.57 goals, with both teams scoring in 64% of them.
- Games involving Virginia United produce 2.74 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 47%.
- The model leans Under 3.75 goals at 57% probability.
Moreton City Excelsior B — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | L Grange Thistle | 0–4 | 3–5 |
| 2026-07-19 | H | W Taringa Rovers | 5–0 | 3–4 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | D Pine Hills | 1–1 | 1–8 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | W Brisbane Knights | 8–0 | 10–3 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | D Virginia United | 1–1 | 10–8 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | D Taringa Rovers | 3–3 | 4–2 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | L Grange Thistle | 2–3 | 7–3 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | W SWQ Thunder | 3–0 | 9–6 |
| 2026-03-28 | A | D Southside Eagles | 2–2 | 5–5 |
| 2026-03-22 | H | L Souths United | 1–2 | 7–5 |
Virginia United — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | W Brisbane Knights | 3–0 | 5–7 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | L Caloundra | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| 2026-05-06 | H | D Ipswich FC | 2–2 | 5–4 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | D Moreton City Excelsior B | 1–1 | 8–10 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | W Mitchelton FC | 1–0 | 4–5 |
| 2026-04-17 | A | W Brisbane Knights | 2–0 | 5–4 |
| 2026-04-01 | A | W Yeronga FC | 4–3 | 7–7 |
| 2026-03-29 | A | L Taringa Rovers | 0–1 | 3–7 |
| 2026-03-21 | H | L SWQ Thunder | 0–3 | 0–5 |
| 2026-03-14 | A | W Southside Eagles | 3–1 | 8–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Moreton City Excelsior B vs Virginia United?
- Our model gives Moreton City Excelsior B a 48% chance, the draw 23% and Virginia United 29%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Moreton City Excelsior B vs Virginia United?
- The corner model projects 11.2 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 69% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.