Scotland Championship
Morton vs Partick Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals0.94 – 1.67
Avg goals2.60
Our pickAway
Morton 20%
Draw 27%
Partick 53%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 53% | 1.87 | 1.48 |
| Double chance | – | Draw or away | 80% | 1.25 | 1.07 |
| Goals | 2.75 | Under +5% Value | 58% | 1.72 | 1.83 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 50% | 1.98 | 1.83 |
| Asian handicap | 1 | Home +8% Value | 61% | 1.64 | 1.95 |
| Corners | 10 | Over +11% Value | 59% | 1.70 | 1.90 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.86 | 8.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 5.25 · Draw 3.90 · Away 1.48 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.98 · Under 1.83 |
| Asian handicap 1 | Home 1.95 · Away 1.85 |
| Corners 10 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.6
Morton
10.7
Expected corners
6.2
Partick
Morton corner stats · Partick corner stats
Corner line 10.00
Over 59%
Under 41%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 10.7 corners here; Morton are forecast for 4.6.
- Across 44 recent matches, Morton games produced 10.39 corners on average — 4.41 taken by Morton themselves.
- Morton games clear the 9.5 corner line 59% of the time.
- Partick matches average 11.15 total corners (6.35 won per game) across their last 52 with corner data.
- Partick games clear the 9.5 corner line 67% of the time.
- Morton matches average 2.41 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
- Games involving Partick produce 2.73 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 60%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.5 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 9.5 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 2.75 goals at 58% probability.
Morton — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | L Inverness CT | 0–1 | 2–2 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | L St Johnstone | 0–3 | 0–12 |
| 2026-07-15 | A | L East Fife | 0–2 | 5–1 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | L Linlithgow Rose | 0–1 | 6–7 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | D Stranraer | 0–0 | 2–8 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | D Airdrieonians | 1–1 | 4–4 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | L Ross County | 0–4 | 4–6 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | D Queen's Park | 0–0 | 11–4 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | L Raith | 2–3 | 2–9 |
| 2026-04-04 | A | L Dunfermline | 1–3 | 4–6 |
Partick — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | H | D Stenhousemuir | 2–2 | 17–1 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | D Livingston | 1–1 | 4–6 |
| 2026-07-15 | A | W Forfar | 4–0 | 10–0 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | W Brechin | 6–0 | 12–4 |
| 2026-05-26 | A | L St Mirren | 0–1 | 5–4 |
| 2026-05-22 | H | D St Mirren | 1–1 | 4–5 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | W Dunfermline | 2–1 | 7–4 |
| 2026-05-13 | A | D Dunfermline | 1–1 | 2–8 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | D Queen's Park | 1–1 | 8–7 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | D Arbroath | 0–0 | 3–5 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Morton vs Partick?
- Our model gives Morton a 20% chance, the draw 27% and Partick 53%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Morton vs Partick?
- The corner model projects 10.7 total corners. Over 10.00 corners is rated at 59% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.