MathPredictions
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Europe Friendlies

Mosta FC vs Balzan FC Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.14 – 1.43
Avg goals2.57
Our pickAway
Mosta FC 29% Draw 29% Balzan FC 42%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 42% 2.36 2.00
Double chance – Home or away 71% 1.40 1.22
Goals 2.5 Under 53% 1.90 1.80
Both teams to score – Yes 53% 1.89 –
Asian handicap 0.25 Home 51% 1.98 1.90
Correct score – 1-1 14% 7.28 7.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 3.10  ·  Draw 3.40  ·  Away 2.00
Goals 2.5 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80
Asian handicap 0.25 Home 1.90  ·  Away 1.90

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Mosta FC matches average 10.17 total corners (3.97 won per game) across their last 36 with corner data.
  • Mosta FC games clear the 9.5 corner line 64% of the time.
  • Balzan FC win 5.76 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.32 over their last 25.
  • Balzan FC games clear the 9.5 corner line 48% of the time.
  • Mosta FC matches average 2.58 goals, with both teams scoring in 39% of them.
  • Games involving Balzan FC produce 2.84 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 56%.
  • The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.6 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 8.8 across their last 10 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 53% probability.

Mosta FC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-18 H L Birzebbuga 0–4 1–2
2026-05-10 H W Naxxar Lions 1–0 4–5
2026-05-01 A D Birkirkara 1–1 0–4
2026-04-25 A L Hibernians 0–2 3–5
2026-04-16 H W Saint Patrick FC Zabbar 2–1 6–8
2026-04-11 A D Tarxien Rainbows FC 2–2 6–6
2026-03-07 A L Saint Patrick FC Zabbar 3–5 4–5
2026-03-04 A L Gzira Utd 1–2 3–4
2026-02-28 H L Marsaxlokk FC 1–2 3–8
2026-02-22 A L Gzira Utd 0–1 6–5

Balzan FC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 A D Birzebbuga 0–0 4–5
2026-07-18 H W Gzira Utd 1–0 3–3
2026-07-12 H L Valletta 1–2 6–1
2026-04-12 H D Birzebbuga 3–3 8–3
2026-04-07 A W Sirens 1–0 3–5
2026-03-14 H L Swieqi Utd 1–2 7–4
2026-03-11 A W Fgura United 2–1 8–7
2026-02-28 A W Pieta Hotspurs 3–1 4–7
2026-02-22 H L St Andrews 1–4 4–2
2026-02-15 A W Marsa FC 4–1 9–4

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Mosta FC vs Balzan FC?
Our model gives Mosta FC a 29% chance, the draw 29% and Balzan FC 42%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.