MathPredictions

Poland Ekstraklasa

Motor Lublin vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.47 – 1.52
Avg goals2.98
Our pickAway
Motor Lublin 36% Draw 27% Jagiellonia Bialystok 38%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Away 38% 2.64 2.25
Double chance Home or away 73% 1.36 1.25
Goals 2.75 Over 52% 1.93 1.80
Both teams to score Yes 61% 1.63 1.57
Asian handicap 0.25 Home 56% 1.78 1.80
Corners 9.5 Over 54% 1.87 1.85
Correct score 1-1 12% 8.08 7.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.80  ·  Draw 3.40  ·  Away 2.25
Goals 2.75 Over 1.80  ·  Under 2.00
Asian handicap 0.25 Home 1.80  ·  Away 2.00
Corners 9.5 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.6 Motor Lublin
9.8 Expected corners
5.2 Jagiellonia Bialystok
Corner line 9.50
Over 54% Under 46%

Match trends

Motor Lublin — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 A D Widzew Lodz 2–2 5–3
2026-07-03 H W Warta Poznan 4–1 2–6
2026-06-27 H W Dinamo Bucharest 3–1 3–3
2026-05-23 A L Legia Warsaw 0–4 3–5
2026-05-16 H D Cracovia Krakow 3–3 2–7
2026-05-10 A W Wisla Plock 4–0 6–7
2026-05-03 H L Lech Poznan 0–1 3–7
2026-04-26 A L Widzew Lodz 0–2 6–4
2026-04-18 A L GKS Katowice 2–3 7–4
2026-04-12 H D Rakow Czestochowa 1–1 7–4

Jagiellonia Bialystok — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H W Korona Kielce 1–0 3–6
2026-07-17 A W FC Nordsjaelland 2–1 1–0
2026-07-17 H W Sparta Prague 1–0 2–9
2026-07-12 A W Pafos FC 1–0 8–4
2026-07-04 H W Pogon Siedlce 4–1 5–3
2026-05-23 H W Zaglebie Lubin 1–0 6–1
2026-05-17 A D GKS Katowice 2–2 9–4
2026-05-14 A W Rakow Czestochowa 2–0 4–6
2026-05-09 H W Pogon Szczecin 3–2 7–0
2026-04-25 H L Gornik Zabrze 1–2 7–2

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Motor Lublin vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?
Our model gives Motor Lublin a 36% chance, the draw 27% and Jagiellonia Bialystok 38%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Motor Lublin vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?
The corner model projects 9.8 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 54% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.