MathPredictions
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Australia Queensland Premier League 3

Mount Gravatt Hawks vs AC Carina Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-2
Expected goals1.43 – 2.38
Avg goals3.81
Our pickAway
Mount Gravatt Hawks 21% Draw 21% AC Carina 58%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 58% 1.73 1.29
Double chance – Home or away 79% 1.26 1.07
Goals 2.5 Over 73% 1.36 2.00
Both teams to score – Yes 70% 1.43 –
Corners 9.5 Over 63% 1.59 –
Correct score – 1-2 9% 11.15 –

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 6.25  ·  Draw 5.75  ·  Away 1.29
Goals 4.25 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

3.7 Mount Gravatt Hawks
10.6 Expected corners
6.9 AC Carina

Mount Gravatt Hawks corner stats · AC Carina corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 63% Under 37%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 10.6 corners here; Mount Gravatt Hawks are forecast for 3.7.
  • Across 20 recent matches, Mount Gravatt Hawks games produced 10.55 corners on average — 4.60 taken by Mount Gravatt Hawks themselves.
  • Mount Gravatt Hawks games clear the 9.5 corner line 75% of the time.
  • AC Carina matches average 9.94 total corners (6.67 won per game) across their last 18 with corner data.
  • AC Carina games clear the 9.5 corner line 67% of the time.
  • Mount Gravatt Hawks matches average 4.10 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
  • Games involving AC Carina produce 5.50 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 89%.
  • The last 5 head-to-head meetings averaged 4 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 10.2 across their last 5 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Over 2.50 goals at 73% probability.

Mount Gravatt Hawks — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-18 H W Logan Roos FC 1–0 7–4
2026-07-05 H W North Pine 2–1 2–4
2026-07-01 H L Springfield United 2–4 6–6
2026-06-28 A W Redcliffe Dolphins SC 4–2 6–6
2026-06-13 A L Moggill 1–2 3–9
2026-06-09 A L Yeronga FC 0–6 7–3
2026-05-17 H D North Brisbane FC 2–2 11–4
2026-05-08 A L AC Carina 2–3 0–11
2026-04-18 H D University of Queensland 1–1 1–5
2026-04-11 A W North Pine 2–0 6–4

AC Carina — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-29 H W University of Queensland 2–1 6–4
2026-07-22 H W Logan Roos FC 7–1 6–1
2026-06-21 A W Ipswich Knights 2–0 6–3
2026-05-26 A L Caboolture FC 0–4 2–3
2026-05-16 A D North Pine 2–2 10–4
2026-05-08 H W Mount Gravatt Hawks 3–2 11–0
2026-05-05 H D Mudgeeraba 2–2 9–3
2026-04-24 H D Moggill 2–2 3–8
2026-04-18 A L Yeronga FC 2–3 6–9
2026-04-11 H W Newmarket 6–2 8–2

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Mount Gravatt Hawks vs AC Carina?
Our model gives Mount Gravatt Hawks a 21% chance, the draw 21% and AC Carina 58%. The most likely score is 1-2.
How many corners are expected in Mount Gravatt Hawks vs AC Carina?
The corner model projects 10.6 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 63% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.