Finland Kolmonen
MPS/Atletico Malmi vs Töölön Taisto Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
2-1
Expected goals2.37 – 1.58
Avg goals3.95
Our pickHome
MPS/Atletico Malmi 55%
Draw 21%
Töölön Taisto 25%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 55% | 1.84 | 1.50 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 79% | 1.27 | 1.10 |
| Goals | 4 | Under +6% Value | 55% | 1.81 | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 73% | 1.38 | – |
| Asian handicap | -1.5 | Away +22% Value | 65% | 1.53 | 1.83 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 56% | 1.78 | 1.90 |
| Correct score | – | 2-1 +62% Value | 9% | 11.70 | 19.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.50 · Draw 4.75 · Away 4.10 |
| Goals 4 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
| Asian handicap -1.25 | Home 1.98 · Away 1.83 |
| Corners 9.5 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.8
MPS/Atletico Malmi
9.0
Expected corners
4.2
Töölön Taisto
MPS/Atletico Malmi corner stats · Töölön Taisto corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 44%
Under 56%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9 corners here; MPS/Atletico Malmi are forecast for 4.8.
- Across 19 recent matches, MPS/Atletico Malmi games produced 9.42 corners on average — 5.11 taken by MPS/Atletico Malmi themselves.
- MPS/Atletico Malmi games clear the 9.5 corner line 32% of the time.
- Töölön Taisto matches average 9.35 total corners (4.45 won per game) across their last 20 with corner data.
- Töölön Taisto games clear the 9.5 corner line 35% of the time.
- MPS/Atletico Malmi matches average 3.89 goals, with both teams scoring in 63% of them.
- Games involving Töölön Taisto produce 4.40 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 75%.
- The last 5 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.6 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 10.6 across their last 5 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 4.00 goals at 55% probability.
MPS/Atletico Malmi — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | W PPS | 2–1 | 9–9 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | L Valtti | 1–2 | 7–2 |
| 2026-06-17 | H | W HPS II | 2–1 | 1–3 |
| 2026-06-06 | H | L Toukolan Teras | 0–3 | 9–8 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | L PPJ/Lauttasaari | 0–4 | 0–1 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | W TiPS | 3–2 | 6–3 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | W VJS Vantaa II | 2–1 | 1–7 |
| 2026-04-30 | H | W FC Kontu | 4–2 | 3–10 |
| 2026-04-24 | A | W Töölön Taisto | 4–0 | 2–5 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | W PPS | 2–1 | 8–1 |
Töölön Taisto — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | H | D TiPS | 1–1 | 2–2 |
| 2026-07-04 | A | L Toukolan Teras | 1–4 | 5–0 |
| 2026-06-25 | H | W VJS Vantaa II | 3–1 | 9–6 |
| 2026-06-12 | A | D HPS II | 2–2 | 3–4 |
| 2026-06-07 | H | W PPS | 5–0 | 7–0 |
| 2026-05-28 | H | D FC Kontu | 3–3 | 2–6 |
| 2026-05-22 | A | D Atlantis FC/PM | 2–2 | 4–4 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | D PPJ/Lauttasaari | 2–2 | 2–6 |
| 2026-05-07 | H | D LPS | 2–2 | 4–5 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | L Valtti | 0–2 | 5–11 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win MPS/Atletico Malmi vs Töölön Taisto?
- Our model gives MPS/Atletico Malmi a 55% chance, the draw 21% and Töölön Taisto 25%. The most likely score is 2-1.
- How many corners are expected in MPS/Atletico Malmi vs Töölön Taisto?
- The corner model projects 9.0 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 44% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.