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Finland Kolmonen

MPS vs Gilla FC Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.61 – 2.08
Avg goals3.69
Our pickAway
MPS 29% Draw 23% Gilla FC 48%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 48% 2.08 1.73
Double chance – Home or away 77% 1.30 1.13
Goals 3.5 Over 50% 1.99 1.95
Both teams to score – Yes 71% 1.41 –
Asian handicap 0.5 Home 52% 1.92 1.83
Corners 9.5 Over 51% 1.98 1.95
Correct score – 1-1 9% 10.86 10.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 3.30  ·  Draw 4.20  ·  Away 1.73
Goals 3.5 Over 1.95  ·  Under 1.85
Asian handicap 0.75 Home 1.83  ·  Away 1.98
Corners 9.5 Over 1.95  ·  Under 1.85

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.1 MPS
9.5 Expected corners
4.5 Gilla FC

MPS corner stats · Gilla FC corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 51% Under 49%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 9.5 corners in this match, with MPS winning 5.1 of them.
  • MPS matches average 10.17 total corners (4.50 won per game) across their last 18 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 56% of MPS matches.
  • Gilla FC win 4.42 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.83 over their last 12.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 50% of Gilla FC matches.
  • Games involving MPS produce 3.28 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 44%.
  • Gilla FC matches average 4.58 goals, with both teams scoring in 92% of them.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 3.50 (50%).

MPS — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-02 H L EIF Academy 0–4 5–3
2026-06-28 A W Poxyt 3–2 6–2
2026-06-18 H L NuPS 0–2 2–4
2026-06-14 A D EPS Reservi 0–0 2–2
2026-06-06 H W HooGee 2–0 5–5
2026-05-29 A D PPJ/Ruoholahti 0–0 10–4
2026-05-23 H L LePa 0–1 3–4
2026-05-16 A L ESPA 0–4 2–11
2026-05-03 A W GrIFK Reservi 4–2 4–2
2026-04-23 A D Gilla FC 1–1 4–6

Gilla FC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-23 A L LePa 0–2 5–1
2026-07-02 H W HooGee 6–3 6–7
2026-06-23 A L LoPa 2–3 1–4
2026-06-11 H L EIF Academy 1–3 4–9
2026-06-07 A D NuPS 1–1 4–9
2026-05-28 A W GrIFK Reservi 2–1 3–9
2026-05-25 H W EPS Reservi 5–1 7–4
2026-05-09 A L ESPA 1–6 6–3
2026-04-29 H L Poxyt 1–2 5–4
2026-04-23 H D MPS 1–1 6–4

Match questions

Who is predicted to win MPS vs Gilla FC?
Our model gives MPS a 29% chance, the draw 23% and Gilla FC 48%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in MPS vs Gilla FC?
The corner model projects 9.5 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 51% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.