Macau FA Cup
MUST IPO vs Shao Jiang SA Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.54 – 1.77
Avg goals3.31
Our pickAway
MUST IPO 33%
Draw 25%
Shao Jiang SA 43%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 43% | 2.35 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 75% | 1.33 | 1.16 |
| Goals | 3.25 | Under | 53% | 1.90 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 66% | 1.51 | – |
| Asian handicap | 0.25 | Home | 51% | 1.94 | 1.98 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 11% | 9.12 | 8.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.75 · Draw 4.00 · Away 2.00 |
| Goals 3.25 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
| Asian handicap 0.25 | Home 1.98 · Away 1.83 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- MUST IPO matches average 10.08 total corners (8.50 won per game) across their last 12 with corner data.
- MUST IPO games clear the 9.5 corner line 58% of the time.
- Shao Jiang SA win 7.29 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.88 over their last 17.
- Shao Jiang SA games clear the 9.5 corner line 41% of the time.
- MUST IPO matches average 5.08 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
- Games involving Shao Jiang SA produce 4.53 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 59%.
- The model leans Under 3.25 goals at 53% probability.
MUST IPO — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | H | W Gala | 5–1 | 10–0 |
| 2026-07-26 | A | W Macau Chiba FC | 5–0 | 7–1 |
| 2026-07-17 | A | D Gala | 2–2 | 7–4 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | W Cheng Fung | 6–1 | 14–1 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | W Benfica Macau | 3–1 | 4–0 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | W Cheng Fung | 5–0 | 11–0 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | W Shao Jiang SA | 1–0 | 4–3 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | D Macau Chiba FC | 0–0 | 12–2 |
| 2026-04-12 | H | W Gala | 3–1 | 4–3 |
| 2026-03-21 | A | W Benfica Macau | 7–0 | 4–2 |
Shao Jiang SA — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | H | W Macau Chiba FC | 4–1 | 3–1 |
| 2026-07-26 | A | W Gala | 7–0 | 3–4 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | W Cheng Fung | 4–0 | 9–0 |
| 2026-07-10 | A | W Benfica Macau | 4–2 | 8–3 |
| 2026-06-26 | A | W Hang Sai | 5–2 | 7–1 |
| 2026-06-14 | H | W Benfica Macau | 2–1 | 6–2 |
| 2026-05-31 | A | W Gorilla Of The Universe SC | 11–0 | 17–0 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | D Macau Chiba FC | 3–3 | 18–2 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | L MUST IPO | 0–1 | 3–4 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | D Gala | 3–3 | 7–6 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win MUST IPO vs Shao Jiang SA?
- Our model gives MUST IPO a 33% chance, the draw 25% and Shao Jiang SA 43%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.