MathPredictions

Macau FA Cup

MUST IPO vs Shao Jiang SA Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.54 – 1.77
Avg goals3.31
Our pickAway
MUST IPO 33% Draw 25% Shao Jiang SA 43%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Away 43% 2.35 2.00
Double chance Home or away 75% 1.33 1.16
Goals 3.25 Under 53% 1.90 1.80
Both teams to score Yes 66% 1.51
Asian handicap 0.25 Home 51% 1.94 1.98
Correct score 1-1 11% 9.12 8.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.75  ·  Draw 4.00  ·  Away 2.00
Goals 3.25 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80
Asian handicap 0.25 Home 1.98  ·  Away 1.83

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

MUST IPO — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-30 H W Gala 5–1 10–0
2026-07-26 A W Macau Chiba FC 5–0 7–1
2026-07-17 A D Gala 2–2 7–4
2026-07-11 A W Cheng Fung 6–1 14–1
2026-07-04 H W Benfica Macau 3–1 4–0
2026-06-13 H W Cheng Fung 5–0 11–0
2026-05-02 H W Shao Jiang SA 1–0 4–3
2026-04-26 H D Macau Chiba FC 0–0 12–2
2026-04-12 H W Gala 3–1 4–3
2026-03-21 A W Benfica Macau 7–0 4–2

Shao Jiang SA — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-30 H W Macau Chiba FC 4–1 3–1
2026-07-26 A W Gala 7–0 3–4
2026-07-18 A W Cheng Fung 4–0 9–0
2026-07-10 A W Benfica Macau 4–2 8–3
2026-06-26 A W Hang Sai 5–2 7–1
2026-06-14 H W Benfica Macau 2–1 6–2
2026-05-31 A W Gorilla Of The Universe SC 11–0 17–0
2026-05-10 H D Macau Chiba FC 3–3 18–2
2026-05-02 A L MUST IPO 0–1 3–4
2026-04-25 H D Gala 3–3 7–6

Match questions

Who is predicted to win MUST IPO vs Shao Jiang SA?
Our model gives MUST IPO a 33% chance, the draw 25% and Shao Jiang SA 43%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.