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Uruguay Torneo Intermedio

Nacional De Football vs Club Atletico Progreso Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 2-0
Expected goals2.08 – 0.79
Avg goals2.87
Our pickHome
Nacional De Football 66% Draw 21% Club Atletico Progreso 12%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 66% 1.51 1.40
Double chance – Home or draw 88% 1.14 1.08
Goals 2.75 Under 51% 1.96 1.83
Both teams to score – No 51% 1.95 1.73
Asian handicap -1.25 Away 52% 1.94 1.85
Corners 9 Over 53% 1.89 1.80
Correct score – 2-0 +316% Value 12% 8.17 34.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.40  ·  Draw 4.75  ·  Away 6.25
Goals 2.75 Over 1.98  ·  Under 1.83
Asian handicap -1.25 Home 1.95  ·  Away 1.85
Corners 9 Over 1.80  ·  Under 2.00

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.7 Nacional De Football
9.2 Expected corners
3.5 Club Atletico Progreso

Nacional De Football corner stats · Club Atletico Progreso corner stats

Corner line 9.00
Over 53% Under 47%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 9.2 corners here; Nacional De Football are forecast for 5.7.
  • Across 53 recent matches, Nacional De Football games produced 9.62 corners on average — 5.81 taken by Nacional De Football themselves.
  • Nacional De Football games clear the 9.5 corner line 51% of the time.
  • Club Atletico Progreso matches average 8.20 total corners (4.00 won per game) across their last 41 with corner data.
  • Club Atletico Progreso games clear the 9.5 corner line 24% of the time.
  • Nacional De Football matches average 2.51 goals, with both teams scoring in 53% of them.
  • Games involving Club Atletico Progreso produce 2.39 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 49%.
  • The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.3 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 10.4 across their last 10 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Under 2.75 goals at 51% probability.

Nacional De Football — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-29 A W Tigre 2–1 6–2
2026-07-22 H L Tigre 0–3 2–2
2026-07-18 H L Montevideo Wanderers 1–2 10–3
2026-07-12 A D Danubio 0–0 7–6
2026-06-07 H W Juventud De Las Piedras 2–1 4–3
2026-06-01 A L Deportivo Maldonado 0–3 7–7
2026-05-27 H W Coquimbo Unido 1–0 2–8
2026-05-24 H W Albion FC 1–0 13–0
2026-05-21 H D Universitario de Deportes 0–0 7–5
2026-05-16 A W Montevideo City Torque 2–1 7–3

Club Atletico Progreso — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-18 H W Deportivo Maldonado 1–0 3–3
2026-07-12 A L Montevideo Wanderers 0–2 7–2
2026-06-07 H L Albion FC 1–2 7–4
2026-05-31 A W Danubio 2–1 7–3
2026-05-23 H L Montevideo City Torque 1–2 3–6
2026-05-17 A L Juventud De Las Piedras 0–2 4–4
2026-05-11 A L Montevideo City Torque 1–2 4–3
2026-05-03 H L Cerro Largo 0–1 5–3
2026-04-28 A L Defensor Sporting 0–1 5–7
2026-04-19 H W Montevideo Wanderers 2–1 3–5

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Nacional De Football vs Club Atletico Progreso?
Our model gives Nacional De Football a 66% chance, the draw 21% and Club Atletico Progreso 12%. The most likely score is 2-0.
How many corners are expected in Nacional De Football vs Club Atletico Progreso?
The corner model projects 9.2 total corners. Over 9.00 corners is rated at 53% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.