Denmark Division 3
Næsby vs Sundby Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
2-1
Expected goals2.24 – 1.23
Avg goals3.47
Our pickHome
Næsby 59%
Draw 21%
Sundby 19%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 59% | 1.68 | 1.50 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 81% | 1.24 | 1.11 |
| Goals | 3.25 | Over | 51% | 1.95 | 1.88 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 64% | 1.56 | – |
| Asian handicap | -1 | Away | 52% | 1.94 | 1.95 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 59% | 1.69 | – |
| Correct score | – | 2-1 +63% Value | 10% | 10.42 | 17.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.50 · Draw 4.33 · Away 4.50 |
| Goals 3.25 | Over 1.88 · Under 1.93 |
| Asian handicap -1 | Home 1.85 · Away 1.95 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
6.5
Næsby
10.4
Expected corners
3.9
Sundby
Næsby corner stats · Sundby corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 59%
Under 41%
Match trends
- Our model projects 10.4 corners in this match, with Næsby winning 6.5 of them.
- Across 29 recent matches, Næsby games produced 9.03 corners on average — 4.79 taken by Næsby themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 41% of Næsby matches.
- Sundby matches average 10.44 total corners (4.75 won per game) across their last 36 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 56% of Sundby matches.
- Games involving Næsby produce 3.48 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 66%.
- Sundby matches average 3.19 goals, with both teams scoring in 61% of them.
- Across their previous 4 meetings, these sides averaged 2.5 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 4 meetings with corner data averaged 8 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 3.25 (51%).
Næsby — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | L Middelfart | 0–1 | 2–4 |
| 2026-06-06 | H | W FA 2000 | 1–0 | 4–2 |
| 2026-05-31 | A | L Nykobing | 2–3 | 3–5 |
| 2026-05-25 | A | W Vanløse | 2–0 | 6–5 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | W Brønshøj | 4–1 | 12–4 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | W Hørsholm-Usserød IK | 5–0 | 13–3 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | L FA 2000 | 0–1 | 2–4 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | D Vanløse | 1–1 | 4–1 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | D Brønshøj | 1–1 | 2–2 |
| 2026-04-06 | H | W Frem | 3–2 | 9–6 |
Sundby — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | W Ringsted IF | 2–1 | 5–0 |
| 2026-07-21 | A | L Fremad Amager | 1–3 | 3–7 |
| 2026-06-13 | A | D Frem | 0–0 | 2–5 |
| 2026-06-05 | H | L Holbæk | 1–5 | 0–5 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | D Odder IGF | 3–3 | 8–4 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | D IF Lyseng | 2–2 | 6–7 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | W Vejgaard | 1–0 | 4–6 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | W Frem | 2–1 | 3–6 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | L Holbæk | 0–2 | 10–6 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | W IF Lyseng | 4–0 | 6–5 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Næsby vs Sundby?
- Our model gives Næsby a 59% chance, the draw 21% and Sundby 19%. The most likely score is 2-1.
- How many corners are expected in Næsby vs Sundby?
- The corner model projects 10.4 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 59% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.