Poland IV Liga
Naki Olsztyn vs Pisa Barczewo Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.53 – 1.77
Avg goals3.31
Our pickAway
Naki Olsztyn 33%
Draw 25%
Pisa Barczewo 43%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 43% | 2.35 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 75% | 1.33 | 1.19 |
| Goals | 3.25 | Under | 53% | 1.90 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 66% | 1.51 | – |
| Asian handicap | 0.25 | Home | 51% | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 11% | 9.13 | 8.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.75 · Draw 3.60 · Away 2.10 |
| Goals 3.25 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
| Asian handicap 0.25 | Home 1.90 · Away 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Pisa Barczewo matches average 11.11 total corners (4.44 won per game) across their last 9 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 56% of Pisa Barczewo matches.
- Games involving Pisa Barczewo produce 3.44 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 67%.
- The model leans Under 3.25 goals at 53% probability.
Pisa Barczewo — last 9 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | H | L Sokol Ostroda | 0–4 | 9–4 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | L Rominta Goldap | 1–3 | 4–5 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | L Tecza Biskupiec | 1–2 | 4–16 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | W Olimpia Elblag II | 1–0 | 4–1 |
| 2026-05-07 | A | L Polonia Lidzbark | 1–4 | 8–8 |
| 2025-10-18 | H | W Tecza Biskupiec | 1–0 | 0–13 |
| 2025-10-11 | A | D Mragowia Mragowo | 2–2 | 2–3 |
| 2025-09-13 | A | D DKS Dobre Miasto | 2–2 | 5–4 |
| 2025-08-02 | H | W Granica Ketrzyn | 3–2 | 4–6 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Naki Olsztyn vs Pisa Barczewo?
- Our model gives Naki Olsztyn a 33% chance, the draw 25% and Pisa Barczewo 43%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.