MathPredictions

New Zealand Central Premier League

Napier City Rovers vs Petone FC Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 2-0
Expected goals2.51 – 0.75
Avg goals3.26
Our pickHome
Napier City Rovers 75% Draw 17% Petone FC 8%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Home 75% 1.33 1.13
Double chance Home or draw 92% 1.09 0.99
Goals 4 Under +33% Value 72% 1.39 1.95
Both teams to score No 51% 1.96
Asian handicap -2.5 Away +29% Value 68% 1.47 1.90
Correct score 2-0 +714% Value 12% 8.23 67.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.13  ·  Draw 8.00  ·  Away 10.00
Goals 4 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95
Asian handicap -2.5 Home 1.90  ·  Away 1.90

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

Napier City Rovers — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-18 A W Wellington Phoenix Reserves 2–1 8–4
2026-07-12 H W Upper Hutt City 5–1 7–8
2026-07-04 A W Petone FC 4–0 6–8
2026-06-20 A W Island Bay United 1–0 8–4
2026-06-06 A D Western Suburbs 3–3 4–2
2026-05-30 H W Island Bay United 3–0 8–2
2026-05-16 A L Miramar Rangers 1–2 6–8
2026-05-10 H W Waterside Karori 5–0 5–1
2026-05-02 A W Petone FC 1–0 1–2
2026-04-26 H W Wellington Phoenix Reserves 2–1 11–3

Petone FC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-18 H D Miramar Rangers 1–1 4–9
2026-07-11 A L Waterside Karori 0–1 11–1
2026-07-04 H L Napier City Rovers 0–4 8–6
2026-06-27 H D Wellington Phoenix Reserves 1–1 5–5
2026-06-06 A L Upper Hutt City 0–2 5–1
2026-05-24 A L Island Bay United 0–2 8–2
2026-05-16 A L Wellington Olympic 1–5 6–2
2026-05-09 A L Western Suburbs 0–1 3–8
2026-05-02 H L Napier City Rovers 0–1 2–1
2026-04-25 A L Miramar Rangers 1–4 3–2

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Napier City Rovers vs Petone FC?
Our model gives Napier City Rovers a 75% chance, the draw 17% and Petone FC 8%. The most likely score is 2-0.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.