Poland III Liga
Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Korona Kielce II Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.58 – 1.58
Avg goals3.17
Our pickAway
Naprzod Jedrzejow 37%
Draw 26%
Korona Kielce II 37%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 37% | 2.69 | 1.90 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 74% | 1.35 | 1.21 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over | 61% | 1.63 | 2.00 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 64% | 1.56 | – |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 66% | 1.52 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 12% | 8.60 | 7.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 3.30 · Draw 3.60 · Away 1.90 |
| Goals 3.25 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.8
Naprzod Jedrzejow
11.0
Expected corners
5.2
Korona Kielce II
Naprzod Jedrzejow corner stats · Korona Kielce II corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 66%
Under 34%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 11 corners here; Naprzod Jedrzejow are forecast for 5.8.
- Across 17 recent matches, Naprzod Jedrzejow games produced 10.59 corners on average — 4.47 taken by Naprzod Jedrzejow themselves.
- Naprzod Jedrzejow games clear the 9.5 corner line 71% of the time.
- Korona Kielce II matches average 10.68 total corners (5.18 won per game) across their last 28 with corner data.
- Korona Kielce II games clear the 9.5 corner line 68% of the time.
- Naprzod Jedrzejow matches average 2.82 goals, with both teams scoring in 53% of them.
- Games involving Korona Kielce II produce 3.86 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 75%.
- The last 3 head-to-head meetings averaged 4.3 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 9.7 across their last 3 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 2.50 goals at 61% probability.
Naprzod Jedrzejow — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | H | L Stal Krasnik | 0–3 | 6–9 |
| 2026-05-01 | A | L Star Starachowice | 1–2 | 9–4 |
| 2026-04-17 | A | L Korona Kielce II | 2–3 | 4–6 |
| 2026-04-04 | A | W Wisla Krakow II | 2–1 | 2–5 |
| 2026-03-29 | H | W Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 1–0 | 2–5 |
| 2026-03-25 | H | L Czarni Polaniec | 0–1 | 7–3 |
| 2026-03-22 | A | W Wisloka Debica | 1–0 | 3–13 |
| 2026-02-14 | A | L Korona Kielce II | 1–4 | 1–3 |
| 2026-01-30 | A | W Hutnik Krakow | 1–0 | 11–7 |
| 2026-01-24 | A | L Wislanie Skawina | 1–3 | 6–4 |
Korona Kielce II — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | H | W Wislanie Skawina | 4–1 | 3–12 |
| 2026-05-22 | H | W Czarni Polaniec | 2–1 | 5–5 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | L Avia Swidnik | 1–5 | 4–5 |
| 2026-05-13 | H | W Wisloka Debica | 1–0 | 4–3 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | W Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 3–1 | 6–4 |
| 2026-05-01 | A | W Wisla Krakow II | 3–2 | 1–9 |
| 2026-04-17 | H | W Naprzod Jedrzejow | 3–2 | 6–4 |
| 2026-04-02 | H | W Star Starachowice | 3–2 | 4–6 |
| 2026-03-28 | H | L Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 1–2 | 8–4 |
| 2026-03-22 | A | L Cracovia Krakow II | 1–2 | 4–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Korona Kielce II?
- Our model gives Naprzod Jedrzejow a 37% chance, the draw 26% and Korona Kielce II 37%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Korona Kielce II?
- The corner model projects 11.0 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 66% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.