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Uzbekistan PFL

Navbahor Namangan vs Xorazm FK Urganch Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-0
Expected goals1.43 – 0.82
Avg goals2.25
Our pickHome
Navbahor Namangan 50% Draw 30% Xorazm FK Urganch 20%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 50% 1.99 1.44
Double chance – Home or draw 80% 1.25 1.04
Goals 2.5 Under +10% Value 61% 1.64 1.80
Both teams to score – No 56% 1.78 –
Asian handicap -1 Away +14% Value 66% 1.52 1.80
Corners 9.5 Over 55% 1.81 –
Correct score – 1-0 14% 7.22 17.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.44  ·  Draw 3.75  ·  Away 6.50
Goals 2.5 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80
Asian handicap -1 Home 2.00  ·  Away 1.80

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

6.2 Navbahor Namangan
10.0 Expected corners
3.8 Xorazm FK Urganch

Navbahor Namangan corner stats · Xorazm FK Urganch corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 55% Under 45%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 10 corners here; Navbahor Namangan are forecast for 6.2.
  • Navbahor Namangan matches average 9.42 total corners (5.35 won per game) across their last 26 with corner data.
  • Navbahor Namangan games clear the 9.5 corner line 38% of the time.
  • Xorazm FK Urganch win 5.17 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.73 over their last 30.
  • Xorazm FK Urganch games clear the 9.5 corner line 53% of the time.
  • Navbahor Namangan matches average 2.35 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
  • Games involving Xorazm FK Urganch produce 2.17 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 53%.
  • The last 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.3 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 11.5 across their last 4 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 61% probability.

Navbahor Namangan — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-28 A D Neftchi Fargona 1–1 2–7
2026-07-23 H D Qizilqum Zarafshon 1–1 9–2
2026-07-17 H L AGMK 2–3 5–7
2026-05-18 A D Xorazm FK Urganch 1–1 5–9
2026-05-04 A D Nasaf Qarshi 0–0 10–4
2026-04-29 A L Bunyodkor Tashkent 1–2 7–0
2026-04-23 H D Sogdiana Jizzakh 1–1 9–4
2026-04-17 A W Lokomotiv Tashkent 2–0 3–5
2026-04-12 H W Termez Surkhon 2–0 5–2
2026-04-07 A W Andijon FK 1–0 5–4

Xorazm FK Urganch — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-28 H W Termez Surkhon 1–0 4–6
2026-07-21 A L Pakhtakor Tashkent 1–2 2–7
2026-07-16 A L Sogdiana Jizzakh 0–2 5–2
2026-05-18 H D Navbahor Namangan 1–1 9–5
2026-05-12 A W Fardu Ferghana 1–0 5–7
2026-05-04 H L Andijon FK 0–3 6–4
2026-04-29 A D Qizilqum Zarafshon 0–0 0–2
2026-04-24 H L Neftchi Fargona 0–2 6–8
2026-04-18 A W FK Mashal Mubarek 1–0 9–4
2026-04-14 H D FK Kokand 1912 2–2 6–6

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Navbahor Namangan vs Xorazm FK Urganch?
Our model gives Navbahor Namangan a 50% chance, the draw 30% and Xorazm FK Urganch 20%. The most likely score is 1-0.
How many corners are expected in Navbahor Namangan vs Xorazm FK Urganch?
The corner model projects 10.0 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 55% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.