Europe Friendlies
NEC vs Sevilla Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.45 – 1.56
Avg goals3.01
Our pickAway
NEC 34%
Draw 26%
Sevilla 39%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 39% | 2.56 | 2.45 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 74% | 1.36 | 1.20 |
| Goals | 2.75 | Over | 53% | 1.90 | 2.00 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 62% | 1.62 | – |
| Asian handicap | 0.25 | Home | 55% | 1.82 | 1.85 |
| Corners | 8.5 | Over +26% Value | 63% | 1.58 | 2.00 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 12% | 8.16 | 7.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.35 · Draw 3.60 · Away 2.45 |
| Goals 3 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
| Asian handicap 0 | Home 1.85 · Away 1.95 |
| Corners 8.5 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
9.6
Expected corners
NEC corner stats · Sevilla corner stats
Corner line 8.50
Over 63%
Under 37%
Match trends
- Across 44 recent matches, NEC games produced 9.82 corners on average — 5.93 taken by NEC themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 52% of NEC matches.
- Sevilla matches average 9.17 total corners (4.81 won per game) across their last 48 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 46% of Sevilla matches.
- Games involving NEC produce 3.95 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 82%.
- Sevilla matches average 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 58% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.75 (53%).
NEC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | H | W Al Feiha | 7–0 | 7–2 |
| 2026-07-15 | H | W V-Varen Nagasaki | 3–1 | 9–2 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | L Anderlecht | 2–3 | 3–3 |
| 2026-07-08 | H | L MSV Duisburg | 2–3 | 4–5 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | W Go Ahead Eagles | 2–1 | 13–4 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | L FC Groningen | 1–2 | 6–5 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | D Telstar | 1–1 | 9–0 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | D FC Twente | 1–1 | 9–3 |
| 2026-04-20 | A | L AZ | 1–5 | 8–2 |
| 2026-04-12 | H | D Feyenoord | 1–1 | 4–1 |
Sevilla — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | H | W AD Ceuta | 2–1 | 10–3 |
| 2026-07-24 | A | D Cordoba | 0–0 | 3–2 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | L Cracovia Krakow | 0–1 | 6–1 |
| 2026-07-12 | H | W Juventud Torremolinos CF | 1–0 | 4–2 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | L Celta Vigo | 0–1 | 3–4 |
| 2026-05-18 | H | L Real Madrid | 0–1 | 4–4 |
| 2026-05-14 | A | W Villarreal | 3–2 | 4–6 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | W Espanyol | 2–1 | 4–6 |
| 2026-05-05 | H | W Real Sociedad | 1–0 | 3–3 |
| 2026-04-27 | A | L Osasuna | 1–2 | 4–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win NEC vs Sevilla?
- Our model gives NEC a 34% chance, the draw 26% and Sevilla 39%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in NEC vs Sevilla?
- The corner model projects 9.6 total corners. Over 8.50 corners is rated at 63% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.