USA USL Championship
New Mexico United vs Colorado Switchbacks FC Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.49 – 1.32
Avg goals2.81
Our pickHome
New Mexico United 40%
Draw 27%
Colorado Switchbacks FC 32%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home +8% Value | 40% | 2.49 | 2.70 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 73% | 1.38 | 1.23 |
| Goals | 2.75 | Under | 53% | 1.90 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 58% | 1.73 | 1.62 |
| Asian handicap | 0.25 | Home +9% Value | 63% | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 65% | 1.54 | 1.78 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.68 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.70 · Draw 3.40 · Away 2.25 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
| Asian handicap 0.25 | Home 1.80 · Away 2.00 |
| Corners 9 | Over 2.03 · Under 1.78 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
3.4
New Mexico United
8.4
Expected corners
5.0
Colorado Switchbacks FC
New Mexico United corner stats · Colorado Switchbacks FC corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 35%
Under 65%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 8.4 corners here; New Mexico United are forecast for 3.4.
- Across 36 recent matches, New Mexico United games produced 8.78 corners on average — 3.83 taken by New Mexico United themselves.
- New Mexico United games clear the 9.5 corner line 44% of the time.
- Colorado Switchbacks FC matches average 8.77 total corners (5.59 won per game) across their last 39 with corner data.
- Colorado Switchbacks FC games clear the 9.5 corner line 38% of the time.
- New Mexico United matches average 2.94 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
- Games involving Colorado Switchbacks FC produce 2.90 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 51%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.8 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 8.3 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 2.75 goals at 53% probability.
New Mexico United — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | A | W Lexington SC | 4–1 | 1–4 |
| 2026-07-12 | A | W El Paso Locomotive FC | 2–0 | 8–4 |
| 2026-07-05 | H | W Oakland Roots | 2–1 | 4–3 |
| 2026-06-21 | A | W Sacramento Republic | 1–0 | 3–5 |
| 2026-06-14 | H | D Orange County SC | 1–1 | 3–4 |
| 2026-06-07 | H | W Phoenix Rising FC | 4–0 | 5–8 |
| 2026-05-31 | A | D Hartford Athletic | 0–0 | 2–8 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | W Charleston Battery | 1–0 | 4–6 |
| 2026-05-21 | H | L Tampa Bay Rowdies | 0–1 | 4–7 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | L Colorado Switchbacks FC | 0–4 | 0–5 |
Colorado Switchbacks FC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | W Charleston Battery | 2–1 | 5–3 |
| 2026-07-23 | H | W Miami FC | 2–0 | 7–6 |
| 2026-07-12 | A | W Orange County SC | 3–0 | 4–1 |
| 2026-07-05 | H | W Phoenix Rising FC | 3–1 | 14–2 |
| 2026-06-25 | H | L San Antonio FC | 1–2 | 8–2 |
| 2026-06-21 | A | W Tulsa | 2–1 | 3–0 |
| 2026-06-14 | H | L Sacramento Republic | 0–1 | 4–1 |
| 2026-06-07 | H | W El Paso Locomotive FC | 2–1 | 2–3 |
| 2026-05-31 | A | W Oakland Roots | 1–0 | 8–3 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | L Las Vegas Lights FC | 0–2 | 6–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win New Mexico United vs Colorado Switchbacks FC?
- Our model gives New Mexico United a 40% chance, the draw 27% and Colorado Switchbacks FC 32%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in New Mexico United vs Colorado Switchbacks FC?
- The corner model projects 8.4 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 35% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.