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USA USL Championship

New Mexico United vs Orange County SC Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-112%1-09%2-19%
Expected goals1.49 – 1.27
Avg goals2.76
Our pickHome
New Mexico United 42% Draw 26% Orange County SC 32%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 42% 2.39 1.95
Double chance – Home or away 74% 1.36 1.23
Goals 2.75 Under 54% 1.86 1.85
Both teams to score – Yes 56% 1.78 1.67
Asian handicap -0.5 Away 58% 1.72 1.80
Corners 9.5 Over 52% 1.93 –
Correct score – 1-1 12% 8.03 7.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.95  ·  Draw 3.40  ·  Away 3.30
Goals 2.75 Over 1.95  ·  Under 1.85
Asian handicap -0.5 Home 2.00  ·  Away 1.80

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.7 New Mexico United
9.6 Expected corners
4.0 Orange County SC

New Mexico United corner stats · Orange County SC corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 52% Under 48%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 9.6 corners here; New Mexico United are forecast for 5.7.
  • New Mexico United matches average 9.00 total corners (3.81 won per game) across their last 37 with corner data.
  • New Mexico United games clear the 9.5 corner line 46% of the time.
  • Orange County SC win 3.77 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.97 over their last 39.
  • Orange County SC games clear the 9.5 corner line 51% of the time.
  • New Mexico United matches average 2.89 goals, with both teams scoring in 49% of them.
  • Games involving Orange County SC produce 2.72 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 62%.
  • The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.5 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 8.8 across their last 10 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Under 2.75 goals at 54% probability.

New Mexico United — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-02 H W Colorado Switchbacks FC 1–0 3–14
2026-07-16 A W Lexington SC 4–1 1–4
2026-07-12 A W El Paso Locomotive FC 2–0 8–4
2026-07-05 H W Oakland Roots 2–1 4–3
2026-06-21 A W Sacramento Republic 1–0 3–5
2026-06-14 H D Orange County SC 1–1 3–4
2026-06-07 H W Phoenix Rising FC 4–0 5–8
2026-05-31 A D Hartford Athletic 0–0 2–8
2026-05-24 H W Charleston Battery 1–0 4–6
2026-05-21 H L Tampa Bay Rowdies 0–1 4–7

Orange County SC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-02 H W El Paso Locomotive FC 2–0 3–12
2026-07-26 A W Monterey Bay FC 2–1 1–7
2026-07-12 H L Colorado Switchbacks FC 0–3 1–4
2026-07-09 A D Hartford Athletic 2–2 4–17
2026-07-05 A D Rhode Island FC 1–1 2–10
2026-06-25 A W Miami FC 4–2 3–8
2026-06-21 A W Las Vegas Lights FC 3–2 5–5
2026-06-14 A D New Mexico United 1–1 4–3
2026-06-07 A L Antelope Valley Alta 1–2 4–0
2026-05-24 H W Oakland Roots 3–2 3–6

Match questions

Who is predicted to win New Mexico United vs Orange County SC?
Our model gives New Mexico United a 42% chance, the draw 26% and Orange County SC 32%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in New Mexico United vs Orange County SC?
The corner model projects 9.6 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 52% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.