USA MLS Next Pro League
New York City FC II vs Philadelphia Union II Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.69 – 1.42
Avg goals3.11
Our pickHome
New York City FC II 43%
Draw 26%
Philadelphia Union II 31%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 43% | 2.32 | 2.35 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 74% | 1.35 | 1.19 |
| Goals | 3.25 | Under +6% Value | 58% | 1.74 | 1.88 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 63% | 1.59 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.5 | Away | 57% | 1.76 | 1.93 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 53% | 1.90 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 12% | 8.49 | 8.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.35 · Draw 3.60 · Away 2.40 |
| Goals 3.25 | Over 1.93 · Under 1.88 |
| Asian handicap 0 | Home 1.88 · Away 1.93 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.0
New York City FC II
9.7
Expected corners
4.7
Philadelphia Union II
New York City FC II corner stats · Philadelphia Union II corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 53%
Under 47%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.7 corners here; New York City FC II are forecast for 5.
- Across 27 recent matches, New York City FC II games produced 10.33 corners on average — 4.74 taken by New York City FC II themselves.
- New York City FC II games clear the 9.5 corner line 52% of the time.
- Philadelphia Union II matches average 10.00 total corners (5.13 won per game) across their last 32 with corner data.
- Philadelphia Union II games clear the 9.5 corner line 50% of the time.
- New York City FC II matches average 3.70 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
- Games involving Philadelphia Union II produce 2.75 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 53%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.8 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 10.8 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 3.25 goals at 58% probability.
New York City FC II — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | L Atlanta United II | 2–3 | 4–2 |
| 2026-07-23 | A | L New England Revolution II | 0–3 | 5–2 |
| 2026-07-12 | A | W Crown Legacy | 3–0 | 5–9 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | W CT United | 4–1 | 2–8 |
| 2026-06-22 | H | D Chattanooga FC | 1–1 | 5–3 |
| 2026-06-18 | H | W Carolina Core FC | 3–2 | 7–4 |
| 2026-06-15 | A | W Philadelphia Union II | 1–0 | 8–7 |
| 2026-05-31 | H | L Columbus Crew II | 2–3 | 3–15 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | W FC Cincinnati II | 2–0 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-18 | A | W New York Red Bulls II | 3–2 | 1–4 |
Philadelphia Union II — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | L Chattanooga FC | 0–4 | 5–3 |
| 2026-07-13 | H | D Huntsville City | 0–0 | 2–4 |
| 2026-07-05 | A | W New England Revolution II | 4–0 | 0–11 |
| 2026-06-29 | A | L New York Red Bulls II | 0–5 | 0–7 |
| 2026-06-22 | A | W Orlando City SC II | 2–1 | 5–7 |
| 2026-06-15 | H | L New York City FC II | 0–1 | 7–8 |
| 2026-06-06 | A | L Crown Legacy | 0–1 | 1–6 |
| 2026-05-30 | A | L Toronto FC II | 1–2 | 4–4 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | W Atlanta United II | 2–1 | 4–10 |
| 2026-05-18 | H | D Columbus Crew II | 1–1 | 4–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win New York City FC II vs Philadelphia Union II?
- Our model gives New York City FC II a 43% chance, the draw 26% and Philadelphia Union II 31%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in New York City FC II vs Philadelphia Union II?
- The corner model projects 9.7 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 53% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.