MathPredictions

USA MLS Next Pro League

New York City FC II vs Philadelphia Union II Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.69 – 1.42
Avg goals3.11
Our pickHome
New York City FC II 43% Draw 26% Philadelphia Union II 31%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Home 43% 2.32 2.35
Double chance Home or away 74% 1.35 1.19
Goals 3.25 Under +6% Value 58% 1.74 1.88
Both teams to score Yes 63% 1.59
Asian handicap -0.5 Away 57% 1.76 1.93
Corners 9.5 Over 53% 1.90
Correct score 1-1 12% 8.49 8.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.35  ·  Draw 3.60  ·  Away 2.40
Goals 3.25 Over 1.93  ·  Under 1.88
Asian handicap 0 Home 1.88  ·  Away 1.93

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.0 New York City FC II
9.7 Expected corners
4.7 Philadelphia Union II
Corner line 9.50
Over 53% Under 47%

Match trends

New York City FC II — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 A L Atlanta United II 2–3 4–2
2026-07-23 A L New England Revolution II 0–3 5–2
2026-07-12 A W Crown Legacy 3–0 5–9
2026-06-27 A W CT United 4–1 2–8
2026-06-22 H D Chattanooga FC 1–1 5–3
2026-06-18 H W Carolina Core FC 3–2 7–4
2026-06-15 A W Philadelphia Union II 1–0 8–7
2026-05-31 H L Columbus Crew II 2–3 3–15
2026-05-24 H W FC Cincinnati II 2–0 3–3
2026-05-18 A W New York Red Bulls II 3–2 1–4

Philadelphia Union II — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 A L Chattanooga FC 0–4 5–3
2026-07-13 H D Huntsville City 0–0 2–4
2026-07-05 A W New England Revolution II 4–0 0–11
2026-06-29 A L New York Red Bulls II 0–5 0–7
2026-06-22 A W Orlando City SC II 2–1 5–7
2026-06-15 H L New York City FC II 0–1 7–8
2026-06-06 A L Crown Legacy 0–1 1–6
2026-05-30 A L Toronto FC II 1–2 4–4
2026-05-24 H W Atlanta United II 2–1 4–10
2026-05-18 H D Columbus Crew II 1–1 4–4

Match questions

Who is predicted to win New York City FC II vs Philadelphia Union II?
Our model gives New York City FC II a 43% chance, the draw 26% and Philadelphia Union II 31%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in New York City FC II vs Philadelphia Union II?
The corner model projects 9.7 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 53% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.