MathPredictions
▾

Argentina Championship Women

Newell's (W) vs Lanus (W) Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.04 – 0.96
Avg goals2.00
Our pickHome
Newell's (W) 35% Draw 33% Lanus (W) 31%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 35% 2.84 2.05
Double chance – Home or draw 69% 1.46 1.18
Goals 2 Under +9% Value 55% 1.83 1.83
Both teams to score – No 59% 1.71 –
Asian handicap 0 Home 53% 1.89 1.83
Corners 9.5 Under 67% 1.48 –
Correct score – 1-1 15% 6.73 6.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.05  ·  Draw 2.80  ·  Away 3.50
Goals 2 Over 1.98  ·  Under 1.83
Asian handicap -0.25 Home 1.83  ·  Away 1.98

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.4 Newell's (W)
8.2 Expected corners
2.8 Lanus (W)

Newell's (W) corner stats · Lanus (W) corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 33% Under 67%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 8.2 corners here; Newell's (W) are forecast for 5.4.
  • Across 23 recent matches, Newell's (W) games produced 7.22 corners on average — 3.65 taken by Newell's (W) themselves.
  • Newell's (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 22% of the time.
  • Lanus (W) matches average 8.79 total corners (3.29 won per game) across their last 14 with corner data.
  • Lanus (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 36% of the time.
  • Newell's (W) matches average 1.96 goals, with both teams scoring in 22% of them.
  • Games involving Lanus (W) produce 2.14 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 21%.
  • The model leans Under 2.00 goals at 55% probability.

Newell's (W) — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-28 A L San Luis FC (W) 1–4 3–3
2026-07-13 H L Independiente (W) 0–1 6–4
2026-07-08 A L Huracan (W) 0–2 0–1
2026-07-05 H L Belgrano (W) 0–1 1–1
2026-06-27 A L River Plate (W) 0–1 1–5
2026-06-22 H L Banfield (W) 0–2 3–3
2026-06-15 A L Gimnasia LP (W) 1–2 3–5
2026-05-25 H D Social Atletico Television (W) 0–0 4–3
2026-05-16 H L Racing Club (W) 0–1 4–8
2026-05-09 A L San Lorenzo (W) 0–5 1–7

Lanus (W) — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-23 H W San Lorenzo (W) 1–0 2–7
2026-07-13 A D Talleres Cordoba (W) 1–1 1–12
2026-07-09 H L Ferro Carril Oeste (W) 0–1 5–3
2026-07-06 A L Boca Juniors (W) 0–1 2–4
2026-06-27 A W Social Atletico Television (W) 2–0 7–3
2026-06-20 H D San Luis FC (W) 1–1 1–3
2026-06-13 A W Union Santa Fe (W) 1–0 5–6
2026-05-23 H L Independiente (W) 0–1 6–6
2026-05-15 A D Huracan (W) 0–0 1–7
2026-05-09 H W Belgrano (W) 3–2 5–4

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Newell's (W) vs Lanus (W)?
Our model gives Newell's (W) a 35% chance, the draw 33% and Lanus (W) 31%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Newell's (W) vs Lanus (W)?
The corner model projects 8.2 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 33% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.