Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers Women
Nigeria (W) vs Zambia (W) Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.59 – 1.01
Avg goals2.60
Our pickHome
Nigeria (W) 50%
Draw 27%
Zambia (W) 23%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 50% | 2.01 | 1.80 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 77% | 1.30 | 1.19 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.62 | – |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.80 · Draw 3.50 · Away 3.60 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Nigeria (W) matches average 8.00 total corners (4.86 won per game) across their last 7 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 14% of Nigeria (W) matches.
- Zambia (W) win 6.31 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.31 over their last 13.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 31% of Zambia (W) matches.
- Games involving Nigeria (W) produce 2.86 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 57%.
- Zambia (W) matches average 2.85 goals, with both teams scoring in 54% of them.
- Across their previous 4 meetings, these sides averaged 4 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 4 meetings with corner data averaged 5.8 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (52%).
Nigeria (W) — last 7 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | H | L Malawi (W) | 2–3 | 4–5 |
| 2026-06-08 | H | W Senegal (W) | 3–0 | 7–3 |
| 2026-06-05 | H | W Senegal (W) | 2–1 | 3–3 |
| 2026-03-03 | A | W Cameroon (W) | 3–1 | 7–1 |
| 2026-02-28 | A | L Cameroon (W) | 0–1 | 4–3 |
| 2025-10-28 | H | D Benin (W) | 1–1 | 5–4 |
| 2025-10-24 | A | W Benin (W) | 2–0 | 4–3 |
Zambia (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | H | W Egypt (W) | 6–0 | 8–0 |
| 2026-07-23 | A | L Algeria (W) | 0–1 | 5–2 |
| 2026-07-20 | A | D Algeria (W) | 1–1 | 5–6 |
| 2026-06-06 | H | D Kenya (W) | 1–1 | 4–7 |
| 2026-04-19 | A | D South Korea (W) | 1–1 | 2–3 |
| 2026-03-01 | H | W Zimbabwe (W) | 3–1 | 5–4 |
| 2026-02-27 | H | L Namibia (W) | 0–1 | 8–0 |
| 2026-02-24 | H | W Eswatini (W) | 2–1 | 11–1 |
| 2026-02-22 | H | D Zimbabwe (W) | 0–0 | 10–1 |
| 2026-02-19 | H | W Botswana (W) | 3–0 | 6–0 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Nigeria (W) vs Zambia (W)?
- Our model gives Nigeria (W) a 50% chance, the draw 27% and Zambia (W) 23%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.