Slovenia Prva Liga
NK Celje vs NK Maribor Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.75 – 1.28
Avg goals3.03
Our pickHome
NK Celje 48%
Draw 26%
NK Maribor 27%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home +9% Value | 48% | 2.11 | 2.25 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 74% | 1.34 | 1.24 |
| Goals | 3.25 | Under | 59% | 1.68 | 1.78 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 61% | 1.65 | 1.44 |
| Asian handicap | 0 | Home +12% Value | 64% | 1.57 | 1.80 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 12% | 8.41 | 7.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.25 · Draw 3.60 · Away 2.75 |
| Goals 3.25 | Over 2.03 · Under 1.78 |
| Asian handicap 0 | Home 1.80 · Away 2.00 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.3
NK Celje
9.5
Expected corners
4.3
NK Maribor
NK Celje corner stats · NK Maribor corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 50%
Under 50%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.5 corners here; NK Celje are forecast for 5.3.
- NK Celje matches average 9.50 total corners (5.08 won per game) across their last 52 with corner data.
- NK Celje games clear the 9.5 corner line 46% of the time.
- NK Maribor win 5.16 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.57 over their last 37.
- NK Maribor games clear the 9.5 corner line 43% of the time.
- NK Celje matches average 3.31 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
- Games involving NK Maribor produce 2.73 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 46%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.9 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 11.1 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 3.25 goals at 59% probability.
NK Celje — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | H | D KF Egnatia | 1–1 | 4–1 |
| 2026-07-23 | A | D KF Egnatia | 3–3 | 6–5 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | D NS Mura | 2–2 | 5–1 |
| 2026-07-02 | H | L Hajduk Split | 0–1 | 6–11 |
| 2026-06-28 | H | W Shkendija Tetovo | 1–0 | 3–9 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | W ND Primorje | 4–0 | 6–3 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | L FC Koper | 1–2 | 3–8 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | L NK Bravo | 2–3 | 5–6 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | W Aluminij Kidricevo | 5–0 | 3–4 |
| 2026-04-19 | A | W NS Mura | 2–0 | 6–2 |
NK Maribor — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | W NK Brinje Grosuplje | 3–0 | 5–1 |
| 2026-07-20 | A | D Aluminij Kidricevo | 0–0 | 5–3 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | D Charlton | 1–1 | 3–6 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | W Aluminij Kidricevo | 3–0 | 4–5 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | L NS Mura | 1–2 | 3–2 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | L Olimpija Ljubljana | 0–1 | 2–3 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | L NK Radomlje | 1–2 | 11–3 |
| 2026-04-27 | A | L NK Bravo | 0–3 | 13–2 |
| 2026-04-19 | H | W ND Primorje | 2–0 | 4–4 |
| 2026-04-15 | A | L FC Koper | 1–3 | 2–6 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win NK Celje vs NK Maribor?
- Our model gives NK Celje a 48% chance, the draw 26% and NK Maribor 27%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in NK Celje vs NK Maribor?
- The corner model projects 9.5 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 50% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.