Slovenia Prva Liga
NK Nafta 1903 vs NS Mura Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.62 – 1.00
Avg goals2.62
Our pickHome
NK Nafta 1903 51%
Draw 27%
NS Mura 22%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home +20% Value | 51% | 1.98 | 2.38 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw +7% Value | 78% | 1.29 | 1.38 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 51% | 1.94 | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 52% | 1.93 | 1.73 |
| Asian handicap | 0 | Home +17% Value | 69% | 1.44 | 1.78 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 64% | 1.55 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.69 | 6.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.38 · Draw 3.30 · Away 2.70 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
| Asian handicap 0 | Home 1.78 · Away 2.03 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.2
NK Nafta 1903
8.4
Expected corners
4.1
NS Mura
NK Nafta 1903 corner stats · NS Mura corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 36%
Under 64%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 8.4 corners here; NK Nafta 1903 are forecast for 4.2.
- Across 35 recent matches, NK Nafta 1903 games produced 9.83 corners on average — 5.83 taken by NK Nafta 1903 themselves.
- NK Nafta 1903 games clear the 9.5 corner line 54% of the time.
- NS Mura matches average 8.87 total corners (5.08 won per game) across their last 39 with corner data.
- NS Mura games clear the 9.5 corner line 38% of the time.
- NK Nafta 1903 matches average 2.94 goals, with both teams scoring in 49% of them.
- Games involving NS Mura produce 2.79 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 51%.
- The last 7 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.3 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 9.9 across their last 7 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 51% probability.
NK Nafta 1903 — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | A | W NK Bravo | 3–0 | 3–10 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | L FC Koper | 0–2 | 6–4 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | L Budapest Honved | 0–3 | 3–7 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | L FC Voluntari | 0–3 | 5–6 |
| 2026-05-31 | H | W ND Primorje | 1–0 | 5–3 |
| 2026-05-28 | A | D ND Primorje | 0–0 | 2–5 |
| 2026-05-18 | A | L NK Brinje Grosuplje | 1–2 | 6–2 |
| 2026-04-30 | A | W ND Ilirija Ljubljana | 2–0 | 4–3 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | W Tabor Sezana | 2–0 | 2–6 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | W Jadran Dekani | 3–0 | 4–5 |
NS Mura — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | W Olimpija Ljubljana | 1–0 | 0–4 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | D NK Celje | 2–2 | 1–5 |
| 2026-07-06 | A | L ND Beltinci | 1–4 | 3–2 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | L SK Sturm Graz | 0–5 | 3–14 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | L NK Radomlje | 2–3 | 4–3 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | W NK Maribor | 2–1 | 2–3 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | W ND Primorje | 2–0 | 4–1 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | L FC Koper | 0–1 | 5–2 |
| 2026-04-19 | H | L NK Celje | 0–2 | 2–6 |
| 2026-04-16 | A | L Aluminij Kidricevo | 1–2 | 9–0 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win NK Nafta 1903 vs NS Mura?
- Our model gives NK Nafta 1903 a 51% chance, the draw 27% and NS Mura 22%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in NK Nafta 1903 vs NS Mura?
- The corner model projects 8.4 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 36% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.