Croatia HNL
NK Varazdin vs Hajduk Split Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.19 – 1.35
Avg goals2.55
Our pickAway
NK Varazdin 32%
Draw 29%
Hajduk Split 39%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 39% | 2.55 | 1.91 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 71% | 1.41 | 1.21 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 53% | 1.88 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 53% | 1.89 | 1.73 |
| Asian handicap | 0.5 | Home +8% Value | 61% | 1.64 | 1.78 |
| Corners | 9 | Under | 51% | 1.97 | 1.93 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.18 | 6.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 3.30 · Draw 3.30 · Away 1.91 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
| Asian handicap 0.5 | Home 1.78 · Away 2.03 |
| Corners 9 | Over 1.88 · Under 1.93 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
3.7
NK Varazdin
8.9
Expected corners
5.2
Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin corner stats · Hajduk Split corner stats
Corner line 9.00
Over 49%
Under 51%
Match trends
- Our model projects 8.9 corners in this match, with NK Varazdin winning 3.7 of them.
- NK Varazdin matches average 8.96 total corners (3.78 won per game) across their last 51 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 37% of NK Varazdin matches.
- Hajduk Split win 5.16 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.10 over their last 50.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 48% of Hajduk Split matches.
- Games involving NK Varazdin produce 2.84 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 63%.
- Hajduk Split matches average 2.66 goals, with both teams scoring in 44% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 2.3 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 9.5 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (53%).
NK Varazdin — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | A | L FK Jablonec | 0–2 | 3–3 |
| 2026-07-24 | H | W FK Jablonec | 3–2 | 1–4 |
| 2026-07-17 | H | W ND Beltinci | 2–0 | 7–6 |
| 2026-07-16 | H | W Kustosija | 3–1 | 6–1 |
| 2026-07-12 | H | W FC Bihor Oradea | 3–1 | 2–1 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | W NK Radomlje | 1–0 | 3–5 |
| 2026-07-05 | H | W CSKA 1948 Sofia | 1–0 | 6–2 |
| 2026-07-03 | H | W FC Voluntari | 2–1 | 3–5 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | L NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1–2 | 8–2 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | W Istra 1961 | 2–0 | 2–3 |
Hajduk Split — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | A | L Pafos FC | 0–4 | 2–9 |
| 2026-07-17 | A | L MSK Zilina | 1–2 | 4–4 |
| 2026-07-10 | H | W MSK Zilina | 2–0 | 6–3 |
| 2026-07-02 | A | W NK Celje | 1–0 | 11–6 |
| 2026-06-28 | A | W LNZ Cherkasy | 1–0 | 2–2 |
| 2026-06-24 | A | W Shkendija Tetovo | 4–0 | 6–3 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | W Vukovar 1991 | 6–3 | 8–3 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | D NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1–1 | 4–8 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | L Dinamo Zagreb | 0–2 | 2–3 |
| 2026-05-04 | H | W NK Varazdin | 3–1 | 4–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win NK Varazdin vs Hajduk Split?
- Our model gives NK Varazdin a 32% chance, the draw 29% and Hajduk Split 39%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in NK Varazdin vs Hajduk Split?
- The corner model projects 8.9 total corners. Over 9.00 corners is rated at 49% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.