USA NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage (W) vs Orlando Pride (W) Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.51 – 1.25
Avg goals2.76
Our pickHome
North Carolina Courage (W) 42%
Draw 28%
Orlando Pride (W) 30%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 42% | 2.37 | 1.90 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 72% | 1.38 | 1.22 |
| Goals | 2.75 | Under | 54% | 1.86 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 57% | 1.76 | 1.67 |
| Asian handicap | -0.5 | Away +6% Value | 58% | 1.73 | 1.83 |
| Corners | 9 | Under | 55% | 1.81 | 1.85 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.62 | 7.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.90 · Draw 3.50 · Away 3.40 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
| Asian handicap -0.5 | Home 1.98 · Away 1.83 |
| Corners 9 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.4
North Carolina Courage (W)
8.6
Expected corners
4.2
Orlando Pride (W)
North Carolina Courage (W) corner stats · Orlando Pride (W) corner stats
Corner line 9.00
Over 45%
Under 55%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 8.6 corners here; North Carolina Courage (W) are forecast for 4.4.
- Across 28 recent matches, North Carolina Courage (W) games produced 8.89 corners on average — 4.04 taken by North Carolina Courage (W) themselves.
- North Carolina Courage (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 46% of the time.
- Orlando Pride (W) matches average 9.06 total corners (4.74 won per game) across their last 31 with corner data.
- Orlando Pride (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 32% of the time.
- North Carolina Courage (W) matches average 2.93 goals, with both teams scoring in 68% of them.
- Games involving Orlando Pride (W) produce 2.32 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 45%.
- The model leans Under 2.75 goals at 54% probability.
North Carolina Courage (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | L Utah Royals (W) | 1–4 | 5–5 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | L Bay FC (W) | 0–3 | 8–2 |
| 2026-07-12 | H | L Washington Spirit (W) | 0–2 | 4–2 |
| 2026-07-05 | H | W Seattle Reign (W) | 3–1 | 4–4 |
| 2026-06-01 | A | W Angel City FC (W) | 2–1 | 3–5 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | W Racing Louisville FC (W) | 2–1 | 2–8 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | W Chicago Stars (W) | 4–0 | 7–4 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | L Orlando Pride (W) | 0–1 | 4–5 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | L Kansas City Current (W) | 1–2 | 7–4 |
| 2026-04-30 | A | D Boston Legacy FC (W) | 2–2 | 7–3 |
Orlando Pride (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | W Chicago Stars (W) | 1–0 | 8–1 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | L Utah Royals (W) | 0–1 | 5–6 |
| 2026-07-16 | H | L Boston Legacy FC (W) | 0–1 | 5–2 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | W Kansas City Current (W) | 3–0 | 1–4 |
| 2026-07-04 | A | L Angel City FC (W) | 0–2 | 3–5 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | W Bay FC (W) | 3–1 | 1–4 |
| 2026-05-25 | A | W San Diego Wave (W) | 1–0 | 2–3 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | L Denver Summit FC (W) | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| 2026-05-13 | A | L Boston Legacy FC (W) | 1–2 | 4–11 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | W North Carolina Courage (W) | 1–0 | 5–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win North Carolina Courage (W) vs Orlando Pride (W)?
- Our model gives North Carolina Courage (W) a 42% chance, the draw 28% and Orlando Pride (W) 30%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in North Carolina Courage (W) vs Orlando Pride (W)?
- The corner model projects 8.6 total corners. Over 9.00 corners is rated at 45% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.