Australia Victoria PL 1 U23
North Geelong U23 vs Bulleen Lions U23 Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
FT 0–4 (HT 0–2)
Corners1–7
Yellow cards2–0
Shots on target4–11
Shots off target0–6
Attacks48–95
Dangerous attacks16–57
Possession0%–0%
Predicted score
1-2
Expected goals1.30 – 2.30
Avg goals3.60
Our pickAway
North Geelong U23 20%
Draw 21%
Bulleen Lions U23 59%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 59% | 1.69 | 1.55 |
| Double chance | – | Draw or away | 80% | 1.25 | 1.15 |
| Goals | 3.75 | Under +10% Value | 57% | 1.75 | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 66% | 1.51 | – |
| Asian handicap | 1 | Home | 52% | 1.94 | 1.95 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 69% | 1.45 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-2 | 9% | 10.64 | – |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 4.00 · Draw 4.50 · Away 1.55 |
| Goals 3.75 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
| Asian handicap 1 | Home 1.95 · Away 1.85 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
3.1
North Geelong U23
8.0
Expected corners
4.9
Bulleen Lions U23
North Geelong U23 corner stats · Bulleen Lions U23 corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 31%
Under 69%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 8 corners here; North Geelong U23 are forecast for 3.1.
- North Geelong U23 win 4.10 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.35 over their last 20.
- North Geelong U23 games clear the 9.5 corner line 40% of the time.
- Across 17 recent matches, Bulleen Lions U23 games produced 8.65 corners on average — 5.88 taken by Bulleen Lions U23 themselves.
- Bulleen Lions U23 games clear the 9.5 corner line 47% of the time.
- North Geelong U23 matches average 4.45 goals, with both teams scoring in 70% of them.
- Games involving Bulleen Lions U23 produce 3.12 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 41%.
- The last 3 head-to-head meetings averaged 3 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 8.3 across their last 3 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 3.75 goals at 57% probability.
North Geelong U23 — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | H | L Bulleen Lions U23 | 0–4 | 1–7 |
| 2026-07-25 | A | W Brunswick Juventus U23 | 2–0 | 7–4 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | D Eltham Redbacks U23 | 1–1 | 1–5 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | W Port Melbourne U23 | 1–0 | 6–4 |
| 2026-06-20 | A | D Manningham Utd Blues U23 | 1–1 | 6–6 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | L Northcote City U23 | 2–3 | 4–4 |
| 2026-06-07 | A | L Melbourne Srbija U23 | 2–7 | 0–0 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | W North Sunshine Eagles U23 | 5–1 | 4–7 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | L Melbourne Knights U23 | 0–5 | 2–9 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | W Langwarrin U23 | 3–1 | 3–1 |
Bulleen Lions U23 — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | A | W North Geelong U23 | 4–0 | 7–1 |
| 2026-07-27 | H | W Langwarrin U23 | 3–0 | 3–3 |
| 2026-07-13 | H | W Brunswick City U23 | 4–1 | 5–3 |
| 2026-06-19 | A | W Brunswick Juventus U23 | 1–0 | 10–0 |
| 2026-06-05 | A | D Eltham Redbacks U23 | 1–1 | 8–2 |
| 2026-06-01 | H | W Port Melbourne U23 | 2–0 | 7–3 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | W Manningham Utd Blues U23 | 3–1 | 11–1 |
| 2026-05-15 | A | L Northcote City U23 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | W Melbourne Srbija U23 | 2–0 | 7–3 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | W North Geelong U23 | 4–0 | 4–1 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win North Geelong U23 vs Bulleen Lions U23?
- Our model gives North Geelong U23 a 20% chance, the draw 21% and Bulleen Lions U23 59%. The most likely score is 1-2.
- How many corners are expected in North Geelong U23 vs Bulleen Lions U23?
- The corner model projects 8.0 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 31% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.