Australia Victoria Premier League 1
North Geelong vs Bulleen Lions Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.52 – 1.80
Avg goals3.32
Our pickAway
North Geelong 32%
Draw 25%
Bulleen Lions 44%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 44% | 2.30 | 1.73 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 75% | 1.33 | 1.13 |
| Goals | 3.5 | Under +10% Value | 58% | 1.74 | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 66% | 1.51 | – |
| Asian handicap | 0.75 | Home +14% Value | 63% | 1.60 | 1.85 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 68% | 1.48 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 +9% Value | 11% | 9.18 | 10.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 3.25 · Draw 4.50 · Away 1.73 |
| Goals 3.5 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
| Asian handicap 0.75 | Home 1.85 · Away 1.95 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.5
North Geelong
11.0
Expected corners
5.5
Bulleen Lions
North Geelong corner stats · Bulleen Lions corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 68%
Under 32%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 11 corners here; North Geelong are forecast for 5.5.
- North Geelong win 5.33 corners per game, with match totals averaging 11.17 over their last 24.
- North Geelong games clear the 9.5 corner line 67% of the time.
- Across 27 recent matches, Bulleen Lions games produced 10.52 corners on average — 5.33 taken by Bulleen Lions themselves.
- Bulleen Lions games clear the 9.5 corner line 59% of the time.
- North Geelong matches average 3.88 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
- Games involving Bulleen Lions produce 3.30 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 67%.
- The last 9 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.3 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 10.3 across their last 9 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 3.50 goals at 58% probability.
North Geelong — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | L Brunswick Juventus | 0–3 | 1–6 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | L Melbourne Victory NPL | 0–2 | 8–4 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | L Eltham Redbacks | 1–3 | 5–4 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | D Port Melbourne SC | 1–1 | 8–3 |
| 2026-06-20 | A | W Manningham United Blues | 3–2 | 3–7 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | W Northcote City | 2–1 | 6–8 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | W North Sunshine Eagles | 3–0 | 5–8 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | L Melbourne Knights | 1–2 | 3–9 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | L Langwarrin | 2–4 | 11–1 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | L Western United FC NPL | 2–3 | 9–0 |
Bulleen Lions — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | H | W Langwarrin | 3–1 | 6–5 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | W Western United FC NPL | 4–2 | 6–3 |
| 2026-07-13 | H | D Brunswick City | 1–1 | 8–6 |
| 2026-07-03 | A | L Melbourne Knights | 1–3 | 4–6 |
| 2026-06-19 | A | W Brunswick Juventus | 5–1 | 0–9 |
| 2026-06-16 | A | L Brunswick Juventus | 0–1 | 6–7 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | L Melbourne Victory NPL | 2–4 | 10–1 |
| 2026-06-05 | A | D Eltham Redbacks | 2–2 | 8–2 |
| 2026-06-01 | H | W Port Melbourne SC | 1–0 | 9–3 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | L Manningham United Blues | 1–2 | 8–5 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win North Geelong vs Bulleen Lions?
- Our model gives North Geelong a 32% chance, the draw 25% and Bulleen Lions 44%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in North Geelong vs Bulleen Lions?
- The corner model projects 11.0 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 68% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.