Australia New South Wales NPL Women
Northern Tigers FC (W) vs Hills United FC (W) Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
FT 1–1 (HT 0–1)
Corners5–5
Yellow cards0–1
Shots on target5–4
Shots off target3–3
Attacks133–113
Dangerous attacks78–70
Possession54%–46%
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.66 – 1.13
Avg goals2.79
Our pickHome
Northern Tigers FC (W) 49%
Draw 27%
Hills United FC (W) 25%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 49% | 2.06 | 1.95 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 75% | 1.33 | 1.28 |
| Goals | 2.75 | Under +6% Value | 53% | 1.88 | 2.00 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.5 | Away | 51% | 1.95 | 1.80 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 73% | 1.37 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.89 | 8.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.95 · Draw 3.70 · Away 3.00 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
| Asian handicap -0.5 | Home 2.00 · Away 1.80 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.2
Northern Tigers FC (W)
7.7
Expected corners
3.6
Hills United FC (W)
Northern Tigers FC (W) corner stats · Hills United FC (W) corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 27%
Under 73%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 7.7 corners here; Northern Tigers FC (W) are forecast for 4.2.
- Northern Tigers FC (W) win 3.50 corners per game, with match totals averaging 7.29 over their last 28.
- Northern Tigers FC (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 18% of the time.
- Across 22 recent matches, Hills United FC (W) games produced 8.95 corners on average — 3.91 taken by Hills United FC (W) themselves.
- Hills United FC (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 45% of the time.
- Northern Tigers FC (W) matches average 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.
- Games involving Hills United FC (W) produce 2.55 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 50%.
- The model leans Under 2.75 goals at 53% probability.
Northern Tigers FC (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | H | D Hills United FC (W) | 1–1 | 5–5 |
| 2026-07-26 | A | D Sydney University (W) | 2–2 | 2–2 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | W Western City Rangers (W) | 3–1 | 2–3 |
| 2026-07-12 | A | W Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) | 2–1 | 4–7 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | D University NSW (W) | 0–0 | 4–4 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | L NWS Spirit (W) | 1–2 | 4–4 |
| 2026-06-20 | H | D Manly Utd (W) | 1–1 | 5–3 |
| 2026-06-14 | A | W Illawarra Stingrays (W) | 3–0 | 3–4 |
| 2026-06-07 | A | L Gladesville Ravens (W) | 0–1 | 3–0 |
| 2026-05-31 | A | W Apia L Tigers (W) | 4–1 | 1–7 |
Hills United FC (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | A | D Northern Tigers FC (W) | 1–1 | 5–5 |
| 2026-07-25 | A | L NWS Spirit (W) | 0–1 | 4–8 |
| 2026-07-19 | H | L Manly Utd (W) | 1–2 | 10–4 |
| 2026-07-12 | A | W Sydney University (W) | 3–0 | 4–8 |
| 2026-07-05 | H | L Macarthur Rams (W) | 1–3 | 5–4 |
| 2026-06-28 | H | W Sydney Olympic FC (W) | 1–0 | 3–2 |
| 2026-06-21 | A | L Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) | 2–3 | 4–4 |
| 2026-06-14 | H | L Apia L Tigers (W) | 1–4 | 4–6 |
| 2026-06-07 | A | L Bulls FC Academy (W) | 1–2 | 4–7 |
| 2026-05-31 | H | L University NSW (W) | 0–2 | 0–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Northern Tigers FC (W) vs Hills United FC (W)?
- Our model gives Northern Tigers FC (W) a 49% chance, the draw 27% and Hills United FC (W) 25%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Northern Tigers FC (W) vs Hills United FC (W)?
- The corner model projects 7.7 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 27% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.