Europe Friendlies
Nurnberg vs Real Oviedo Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.31 – 1.36
Avg goals2.67
Our pickAway
Nurnberg 35%
Draw 28%
Real Oviedo 37%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 37% | 2.70 | 2.38 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 72% | 1.40 | 1.24 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 50% | 2.00 | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 56% | 1.80 | – |
| Asian handicap | 0 | Away | 52% | 1.93 | 1.78 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.38 | 6.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.60 · Draw 3.25 · Away 2.38 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
| Asian handicap 0 | Home 2.03 · Away 1.78 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Across 36 recent matches, Nurnberg games produced 9.67 corners on average — 5.28 taken by Nurnberg themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 44% of Nurnberg matches.
- Real Oviedo matches average 9.35 total corners (3.84 won per game) across their last 43 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 47% of Real Oviedo matches.
- Games involving Nurnberg produce 3.00 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 61%.
- Real Oviedo matches average 2.21 goals, with both teams scoring in 30% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (50%).
Nurnberg — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | A | W TSV Kornburg | 10–0 | 8–2 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | D Hannover 96 | 3–3 | 7–8 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | W Schalke | 3–0 | 5–4 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | D Greuther Furth | 1–1 | 5–4 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | W Magdeburg | 1–0 | 3–5 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | D Arminia Bielefeld | 1–1 | 2–2 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | L Dynamo Dresden | 0–2 | 5–4 |
| 2026-04-05 | A | D Eintracht Braunschweig | 1–1 | 4–9 |
| 2026-03-21 | H | W Kaiserslautern | 3–0 | 11–1 |
| 2026-03-14 | A | W Holstein Kiel | 3–2 | 1–7 |
Real Oviedo — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | H | W Ponferradina | 4–0 | 6–6 |
| 2026-07-26 | H | D Deportivo La Coruna | 0–0 | 0–5 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | L Mallorca | 0–3 | 5–5 |
| 2026-05-18 | H | L CD Alaves | 0–1 | 5–2 |
| 2026-05-15 | A | L Real Madrid | 0–2 | 5–4 |
| 2026-05-11 | H | D Getafe | 0–0 | 1–9 |
| 2026-05-04 | A | L Real Betis | 0–3 | 4–5 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | L Elche | 1–2 | 6–1 |
| 2026-04-24 | H | D Villarreal | 1–1 | 7–0 |
| 2026-04-13 | A | W Celta Vigo | 3–0 | 1–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Nurnberg vs Real Oviedo?
- Our model gives Nurnberg a 35% chance, the draw 28% and Real Oviedo 37%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.