MathPredictions
▾

USA MLS

NY Red Bulls vs Orlando City Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals2.09 – 1.91
Avg goals4.00
Our pickHome
NY Red Bulls 42% Draw 22% Orlando City 36%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 42% 2.37 2.15
Double chance – Home or away 78% 1.28 1.23
Goals 3.5 Over 57% 1.77 1.80
Both teams to score – Yes 75% 1.33 1.30
Asian handicap -0.25 Away 53% 1.90 1.90
Corners 9.5 Over +22% Value 64% 1.56 1.90
Correct score – 1-1 8% 12.42 9.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.15  ·  Draw 3.90  ·  Away 2.88
Goals 3.5 Over 1.80  ·  Under 2.00
Asian handicap -0.25 Home 1.90  ·  Away 1.90
Corners 9.5 Over 1.90  ·  Under 1.90

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

6.8 NY Red Bulls
10.8 Expected corners
4.0 Orlando City

NY Red Bulls corner stats · Orlando City corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 64% Under 36%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 10.8 corners in this match, with NY Red Bulls winning 6.8 of them.
  • NY Red Bulls matches average 9.78 total corners (5.41 won per game) across their last 32 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 59% of NY Red Bulls matches.
  • Orlando City win 4.57 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.31 over their last 35.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 51% of Orlando City matches.
  • Games involving NY Red Bulls produce 3.16 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 66%.
  • Orlando City matches average 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 74% of them.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 3.50 (57%).

NY Red Bulls — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 H L Charlotte FC 0–2 6–1
2026-07-23 A L Philadelphia 1–3 6–8
2026-05-24 A W Kansas City 2–1 1–6
2026-05-17 H D New York City 1–1 9–3
2026-05-14 H W Columbus Crew 3–2 3–2
2026-05-10 A W Chicago Fire 3–1 3–6
2026-05-03 H L FC Dallas 0–2 8–4
2026-04-30 H L New York City 1–3 6–11
2026-04-26 A L FC Cincinnati 0–2 7–4
2026-04-23 H D DC United 4–4 3–3

Orlando City — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 H W Nashville SC 1–0 2–7
2026-07-23 A W San Jose 4–0 2–3
2026-05-24 A L FC Cincinnati 2–6 9–6
2026-05-20 H W Atlanta Utd 4–1 7–1
2026-05-17 H D Atlanta Utd 1–1 4–10
2026-05-14 H W Philadelphia 4–3 2–10
2026-05-10 A L CF Montreal 0–2 3–11
2026-05-03 A W Inter Miami 4–3 2–10
2026-04-30 A W New England 4–3 3–3
2026-04-26 A L DC United 2–3 8–7

Match questions

Who is predicted to win NY Red Bulls vs Orlando City?
Our model gives NY Red Bulls a 42% chance, the draw 22% and Orlando City 36%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in NY Red Bulls vs Orlando City?
The corner model projects 10.8 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 64% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.