Paraguay Women League
Olimpia Asuncion (W) vs Nacional-Humaita (W) Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
4-0
Expected goals4.53 – 0.58
Avg goals5.11
Our pickHome
Olimpia Asuncion (W) 95%
Draw 4%
Nacional-Humaita (W) 1%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 95% | 1.05 | 1.02 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 99% | 1.01 | 0.97 |
| Goals | 5 | Under | 52% | 1.94 | 1.83 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 56% | 1.77 | – |
| Asian handicap | -4.5 | Away +17% Value | 62% | 1.61 | 1.88 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 53% | 1.90 | 1.98 |
| Correct score | – | 4-0 | 11% | 9.36 | 6.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.02 · Draw 21.00 · Away 67.00 |
| Goals 5 | Over 1.98 · Under 1.83 |
| Asian handicap -4.5 | Home 1.93 · Away 1.88 |
| Corners 9.5 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
7.1
Olimpia Asuncion (W)
9.3
Expected corners
2.1
Nacional-Humaita (W)
Olimpia Asuncion (W) corner stats · Nacional-Humaita (W) corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 47%
Under 53%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.3 corners here; Olimpia Asuncion (W) are forecast for 7.1.
- Across 16 recent matches, Olimpia Asuncion (W) games produced 8.44 corners on average — 6.81 taken by Olimpia Asuncion (W) themselves.
- Olimpia Asuncion (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 31% of the time.
- Nacional-Humaita (W) matches average 8.47 total corners (3.26 won per game) across their last 19 with corner data.
- Nacional-Humaita (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 47% of the time.
- Olimpia Asuncion (W) matches average 3.63 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
- Games involving Nacional-Humaita (W) produce 4.32 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 74%.
- The model leans Under 5.00 goals at 52% probability.
Olimpia Asuncion (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | H | W Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 4–0 | 10–0 |
| 2026-07-27 | A | W Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 2–0 | 11–0 |
| 2026-07-23 | H | W Guarani Asuncion (W) | 4–1 | 7–4 |
| 2026-07-06 | A | W Guarani Asuncion (W) | 3–0 | 2–4 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | W Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) | 7–0 | 9–0 |
| 2026-05-18 | A | W Sportivo Ameliano (W) | 10–0 | 9–0 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | D Libertad Asuncion (W) | 1–1 | 6–3 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | D Cerro Porteno (W) | 0–0 | 5–1 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | W Rubio Nu (W) | 7–0 | 8–0 |
| 2025-12-14 | A | W Guarani Asuncion (W) | 2–0 | 8–1 |
Nacional-Humaita (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | W 2 de Mayo (W) | 3–2 | 7–2 |
| 2026-07-19 | H | W Sportivo Luqueno (W) | 1–0 | 8–3 |
| 2026-07-06 | A | L Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) | 1–4 | 7–3 |
| 2026-06-28 | A | L Libertad Limpeno (W) | 1–3 | 1–6 |
| 2026-06-01 | H | L Rubio Nu (W) | 2–3 | 7–3 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | W Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 1–0 | 2–1 |
| 2026-05-18 | H | D Guarani Asuncion (W) | 1–1 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | L Deportivo Recoleta (W) | 1–2 | 9–2 |
| 2026-05-04 | H | W Sportivo Ameliano (W) | 3–1 | 4–3 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | L Cerro Porteno (W) | 1–6 | 1–11 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Olimpia Asuncion (W) vs Nacional-Humaita (W)?
- Our model gives Olimpia Asuncion (W) a 95% chance, the draw 4% and Nacional-Humaita (W) 1%. The most likely score is 4-0.
- How many corners are expected in Olimpia Asuncion (W) vs Nacional-Humaita (W)?
- The corner model projects 9.3 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 47% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.