MathPredictions
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USA USL Championship

Orange County SC vs El Paso Locomotive FC Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.74 – 1.29
Avg goals3.03
Our pickHome
Orange County SC 47% Draw 26% El Paso Locomotive FC 27%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 47% 2.13 2.10
Double chance – Home or away 74% 1.35 1.22
Goals 2.75 Over +6% Value 53% 1.88 1.95
Both teams to score – Yes 61% 1.64 1.67
Asian handicap -0.25 Home 54% 1.85 1.90
Corners 9.5 Over 55% 1.82 –
Correct score – 1-1 12% 8.40 7.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.10  ·  Draw 3.30  ·  Away 2.90
Goals 2.75 Over 1.95  ·  Under 1.85
Asian handicap -0.25 Home 1.90  ·  Away 1.90

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.7 Orange County SC
9.9 Expected corners
5.2 El Paso Locomotive FC

Orange County SC corner stats · El Paso Locomotive FC corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 55% Under 45%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 9.9 corners in this match, with Orange County SC winning 4.7 of them.
  • Across 38 recent matches, Orange County SC games produced 9.84 corners on average — 3.79 taken by Orange County SC themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 50% of Orange County SC matches.
  • El Paso Locomotive FC matches average 9.47 total corners (4.84 won per game) across their last 38 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 47% of El Paso Locomotive FC matches.
  • Games involving Orange County SC produce 2.74 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 63%.
  • El Paso Locomotive FC matches average 3.08 goals, with both teams scoring in 58% of them.
  • Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 1.8 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 9.2 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.75 (53%).

Orange County SC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 A W Monterey Bay FC 2–1 1–7
2026-07-12 H L Colorado Switchbacks FC 0–3 1–4
2026-07-09 A D Hartford Athletic 2–2 4–17
2026-07-05 A D Rhode Island FC 1–1 2–10
2026-06-25 A W Miami FC 4–2 3–8
2026-06-21 A W Las Vegas Lights FC 3–2 5–5
2026-06-14 A D New Mexico United 1–1 4–3
2026-06-07 A L Antelope Valley Alta 1–2 4–0
2026-05-24 H W Oakland Roots 3–2 3–6
2026-05-17 A L Phoenix Rising FC 1–2 7–6

El Paso Locomotive FC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 H W Sporting JAX 2–0 8–5
2026-07-19 A L Tulsa 0–1 4–5
2026-07-12 H L New Mexico United 0–2 4–8
2026-07-05 A W Las Vegas Lights FC 2–1 3–8
2026-06-21 A L Monterey Bay FC 0–1 3–4
2026-06-14 H D Phoenix Rising FC 1–1 0–4
2026-06-11 A D Detroit City FC 1–1 5–10
2026-06-07 A L Colorado Switchbacks FC 1–2 3–2
2026-05-31 H L Lexington SC 1–4 3–7
2026-05-28 H W Antelope Valley Alta 2–0 11–4

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Orange County SC vs El Paso Locomotive FC?
Our model gives Orange County SC a 47% chance, the draw 26% and El Paso Locomotive FC 27%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Orange County SC vs El Paso Locomotive FC?
The corner model projects 9.9 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 55% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.