MathPredictions
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USA USL Championship

Orange County SC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

LIVE 11′ 0–0

Corners0–0
Yellow cards0–0
Shots on target0–0
Shots off target1–0
Attacks19–9
Dangerous attacks7–4
Possession59%–41%
Predicted score 1-112%2-19%1-28%
Expected goals1.54 – 1.39
Avg goals2.93
Our pickHome
Orange County SC 40% Draw 25% Tampa Bay Rowdies 34%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home +70% Value 40% 2.47 3.75
Double chance – Home or away 75% 1.34 1.22
Goals 2.5 Over +6% Value 56% 1.79 1.95
Both teams to score – Yes +9% Value 59% 1.68 1.83
Asian handicap 0.75 Home +36% Value 73% 1.38 1.88
Corners 9.5 Over 55% 1.83 2.00
Correct score – 1-1 12% 8.40 7.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 3.75  ·  Draw 3.75  ·  Away 1.80
Goals 2.75 Over 1.95  ·  Under 1.85
Asian handicap 0.75 Home 1.88  ·  Away 1.93
Corners 9.5 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

3.6 Orange County SC
9.9 Expected corners
6.3 Tampa Bay Rowdies

Orange County SC corner stats · Tampa Bay Rowdies corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 55% Under 45%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 9.9 corners in this match, with Orange County SC winning 3.6 of them.
  • Orange County SC matches average 9.97 total corners (3.77 won per game) across their last 39 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 51% of Orange County SC matches.
  • Tampa Bay Rowdies win 4.97 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.77 over their last 35.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 37% of Tampa Bay Rowdies matches.
  • Games involving Orange County SC produce 2.72 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 62%.
  • Tampa Bay Rowdies matches average 3.14 goals, with both teams scoring in 54% of them.
  • Across their previous 3 meetings, these sides averaged 2.7 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 3 meetings with corner data averaged 12.7 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.50 (56%).

Orange County SC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-02 H W El Paso Locomotive FC 2–0 3–12
2026-07-26 A W Monterey Bay FC 2–1 1–7
2026-07-12 H L Colorado Switchbacks FC 0–3 1–4
2026-07-09 A D Hartford Athletic 2–2 4–17
2026-07-05 A D Rhode Island FC 1–1 2–10
2026-06-25 A W Miami FC 4–2 3–8
2026-06-21 A W Las Vegas Lights FC 3–2 5–5
2026-06-14 A D New Mexico United 1–1 4–3
2026-06-07 A L Antelope Valley Alta 1–2 4–0
2026-05-24 H W Oakland Roots 3–2 3–6

Tampa Bay Rowdies — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-02 H W Louisville City FC 5–4 5–2
2026-07-26 A W Miami FC 3–2 3–3
2026-07-19 A D Loudoun United FC 1–1 5–5
2026-07-12 H W FC Naples 2–0 3–2
2026-07-05 H L Lexington SC 1–4 12–2
2026-06-21 A W Brooklyn FC 2–0 3–5
2026-06-14 H L Hartford Athletic 0–1 15–1
2026-06-11 H D Charleston Battery 2–2 5–3
2026-06-07 A W Sporting JAX 2–0 4–3
2026-05-31 A W Louisville City FC 2–0 5–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Orange County SC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Our model gives Orange County SC a 40% chance, the draw 25% and Tampa Bay Rowdies 34%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Orange County SC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
The corner model projects 9.9 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 55% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.