Estonia Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Kuressaare Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
2-0
Expected goals1.99 – 0.89
Avg goals2.89
Our pickHome
Paide Linnameeskond 62%
Draw 23%
FC Kuressaare 15%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 62% | 1.61 | 1.50 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 85% | 1.18 | 1.11 |
| Goals | 3 | Under +9% Value | 58% | 1.73 | 1.93 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 52% | 1.92 | 1.67 |
| Asian handicap | -1 | Home | 50% | 1.98 | 1.78 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 65% | 1.54 | – |
| Correct score | – | 2-0 +221% Value | 11% | 9.03 | 29.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.50 · Draw 4.33 · Away 4.50 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.88 · Under 1.93 |
| Asian handicap -1 | Home 1.78 · Away 2.03 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
6.2
Paide Linnameeskond
10.8
Expected corners
4.6
FC Kuressaare
Paide Linnameeskond corner stats · FC Kuressaare corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 65%
Under 35%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 10.8 corners here; Paide Linnameeskond are forecast for 6.2.
- Paide Linnameeskond matches average 10.17 total corners (5.52 won per game) across their last 52 with corner data.
- Paide Linnameeskond games clear the 9.5 corner line 60% of the time.
- FC Kuressaare win 4.93 corners per game, with match totals averaging 11.52 over their last 42.
- FC Kuressaare games clear the 9.5 corner line 69% of the time.
- Paide Linnameeskond matches average 3.06 goals, with both teams scoring in 64% of them.
- Games involving FC Kuressaare produce 2.86 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 52%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.1 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 11.7 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 3.00 goals at 58% probability.
Paide Linnameeskond — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | A | D Zira IK | 1–1 | 1–9 |
| 2026-07-24 | H | W Zira IK | 1–0 | 7–3 |
| 2026-07-20 | A | L Harju JK Laagri | 2–5 | 7–5 |
| 2026-07-17 | H | W FC Hegelmann | 3–0 | 3–6 |
| 2026-07-10 | A | D FC Hegelmann | 1–1 | 4–1 |
| 2026-07-05 | H | W Parnu JK Vaprus | 3–1 | 6–2 |
| 2026-06-28 | A | D JK Nomme Kalju | 1–1 | 3–5 |
| 2026-06-21 | A | W FC Flora Tallinn | 2–1 | 7–5 |
| 2026-06-18 | H | W Harju JK Laagri | 1–0 | 7–5 |
| 2026-06-14 | A | D JK Nomme Kalju | 1–1 | 4–4 |
FC Kuressaare — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | H | D JK Nomme Kalju | 0–0 | 5–7 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | L JK Nomme United | 2–3 | 6–6 |
| 2026-07-03 | H | L FC Flora Tallinn | 0–3 | 2–9 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | L Parnu JK Vaprus | 0–1 | 9–7 |
| 2026-06-17 | H | D JK Trans Narva | 0–0 | 5–7 |
| 2026-06-13 | A | W Harju JK Laagri | 3–2 | 8–8 |
| 2026-05-31 | A | D Paide Linnameeskond | 1–1 | 6–3 |
| 2026-05-21 | H | W JK Nomme United | 2–1 | 5–7 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | L JK Nomme Kalju | 0–2 | 5–1 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | L JK Tammeka Tartu | 0–1 | 9–1 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Kuressaare?
- Our model gives Paide Linnameeskond a 62% chance, the draw 23% and FC Kuressaare 15%. The most likely score is 2-0.
- How many corners are expected in Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Kuressaare?
- The corner model projects 10.8 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 65% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.