Czechia First League
Pardubice vs FK Jablonec Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.40 – 1.32
Avg goals2.72
Our pickHome
Pardubice 38%
Draw 28%
FK Jablonec 34%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 38% | 2.64 | 2.25 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 72% | 1.39 | 1.26 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over | 51% | 1.96 | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 56% | 1.78 | 1.75 |
| Asian handicap | -0.25 | Away | 56% | 1.79 | 1.83 |
| Corners | 10 | Under | 52% | 1.94 | 1.80 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.46 | 6.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.25 · Draw 3.30 · Away 2.88 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
| Asian handicap -0.25 | Home 1.98 · Away 1.83 |
| Corners 10 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.7
Pardubice
9.9
Expected corners
5.2
FK Jablonec
Pardubice corner stats · FK Jablonec corner stats
Corner line 10.00
Over 48%
Under 52%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.9 corners here; Pardubice are forecast for 4.7.
- Pardubice matches average 10.23 total corners (5.18 won per game) across their last 40 with corner data.
- Pardubice games clear the 9.5 corner line 60% of the time.
- FK Jablonec win 5.27 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.63 over their last 49.
- FK Jablonec games clear the 9.5 corner line 53% of the time.
- Pardubice matches average 2.90 goals, with both teams scoring in 70% of them.
- Games involving FK Jablonec produce 2.67 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 43%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 10.7 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 2.50 goals at 51% probability.
Pardubice — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | A | L Hradec Kralove | 1–2 | 5–3 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | W Vysocina Jihlava | 5–0 | 3–6 |
| 2026-07-09 | A | L Cracovia Krakow | 0–2 | 12–3 |
| 2026-07-05 | A | D Rapid Vienna | 2–2 | 6–7 |
| 2026-07-01 | A | D MSK Zilina | 2–2 | 9–1 |
| 2026-07-01 | A | D Odra Opole | 1–1 | 7–5 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | L MFK Karvina | 1–2 | 5–4 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | W MFK Karvina | 2–1 | 4–7 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | W FC Zlin | 3–1 | 3–4 |
| 2026-04-20 | A | W Viktoria Plzen | 1–0 | 4–7 |
FK Jablonec — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | H | W NK Varazdin | 2–0 | 3–3 |
| 2026-07-26 | H | W Sigma Olomouc | 2–1 | 10–0 |
| 2026-07-24 | A | L NK Varazdin | 2–3 | 4–1 |
| 2026-07-15 | H | W FC Kharkiv | 1–0 | 3–2 |
| 2026-07-12 | H | W VfL Osnabruck | 1–0 | 1–0 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | L FC Liefering | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| 2026-07-09 | H | D Pafos FC | 0–0 | 1–7 |
| 2026-07-03 | H | D FK Usti nad Labem | 1–1 | 7–1 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | W Mlada Boleslav | 5–0 | 10–7 |
| 2026-06-26 | H | W FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim | 2–1 | 3–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Pardubice vs FK Jablonec?
- Our model gives Pardubice a 38% chance, the draw 28% and FK Jablonec 34%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Pardubice vs FK Jablonec?
- The corner model projects 9.9 total corners. Over 10.00 corners is rated at 48% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.