Estonia Meistriliiga
Parnu JK Vaprus vs FC Levadia Tallinn Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-2
Expected goals1.03 – 2.31
Avg goals3.35
Our pickAway
Parnu JK Vaprus 15%
Draw 20%
FC Levadia Tallinn 65%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 65% | 1.54 | 1.27 |
| Double chance | – | Draw or away | 85% | 1.17 | 1.00 |
| Goals | 3.25 | Under | 52% | 1.94 | 1.88 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes +8% Value | 59% | 1.70 | 1.83 |
| Asian handicap | 1.75 | Home +15% Value | 63% | 1.59 | 1.80 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 74% | 1.34 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-2 | 10% | 10.28 | – |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 8.00 · Draw 4.75 · Away 1.27 |
| Goals 3.25 | Over 1.93 · Under 1.88 |
| Asian handicap 1.75 | Home 1.80 · Away 2.00 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
2.9
Parnu JK Vaprus
11.8
Expected corners
8.9
FC Levadia Tallinn
Parnu JK Vaprus corner stats · FC Levadia Tallinn corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 74%
Under 26%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 11.8 corners here; Parnu JK Vaprus are forecast for 2.9.
- Across 42 recent matches, Parnu JK Vaprus games produced 10.81 corners on average — 4.14 taken by Parnu JK Vaprus themselves.
- Parnu JK Vaprus games clear the 9.5 corner line 62% of the time.
- FC Levadia Tallinn matches average 10.72 total corners (7.45 won per game) across their last 47 with corner data.
- FC Levadia Tallinn games clear the 9.5 corner line 64% of the time.
- Parnu JK Vaprus matches average 3.43 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.
- Games involving FC Levadia Tallinn produce 3.55 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 66%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 4.1 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 11.6 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 3.25 goals at 52% probability.
Parnu JK Vaprus — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | A | L JK Trans Narva | 1–3 | 8–7 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | W JK Tammeka Tartu | 5–1 | 0–8 |
| 2026-07-05 | A | L Paide Linnameeskond | 1–3 | 2–6 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | W FC Kuressaare | 1–0 | 7–9 |
| 2026-06-17 | H | L FC Flora Tallinn | 1–2 | 2–12 |
| 2026-06-13 | A | D JK Tammeka Tartu | 0–0 | 3–6 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | W JK Nomme Kalju | 3–1 | 4–9 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | L FC Levadia Tallinn | 1–6 | 1–14 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | W Harju JK Laagri | 2–1 | 8–5 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | W JK Trans Narva | 2–0 | 4–3 |
FC Levadia Tallinn — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | H | L IFK Goteborg | 0–1 | 4–8 |
| 2026-07-22 | A | W IFK Goteborg | 2–1 | 5–5 |
| 2026-07-17 | H | W Caernarfon | 5–0 | 9–0 |
| 2026-07-10 | A | W Caernarfon | 5–0 | 6–3 |
| 2026-07-05 | A | W JK Trans Narva | 3–1 | 9–3 |
| 2026-06-29 | H | L FC Flora Tallinn | 1–2 | 8–2 |
| 2026-06-20 | H | D JK Nomme Kalju | 1–1 | 8–3 |
| 2026-06-18 | A | W JK Nomme United | 2–1 | 10–6 |
| 2026-06-14 | A | W FC Flora Tallinn | 3–1 | 8–4 |
| 2026-05-30 | A | W JK Tammeka Tartu | 1–0 | 8–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Parnu JK Vaprus vs FC Levadia Tallinn?
- Our model gives Parnu JK Vaprus a 15% chance, the draw 20% and FC Levadia Tallinn 65%. The most likely score is 1-2.
- How many corners are expected in Parnu JK Vaprus vs FC Levadia Tallinn?
- The corner model projects 11.8 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 74% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.