Argentina Nacional B
Patronato Parana vs Quilmes Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
0-0
Expected goals0.91 – 0.71
Avg goals1.62
Our pickDraw
Patronato Parana 37%
Draw 37%
Quilmes 26%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Draw +7% Value | 37% | 2.68 | 2.88 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 74% | 1.34 | 1.35 |
| Goals | 1.75 | Under +13% Value | 59% | 1.71 | 1.98 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 68% | 1.46 | 1.57 |
| Asian handicap | 0 | Home | 59% | 1.69 | 1.80 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 66% | 1.51 | – |
| Correct score | – | 0-0 +16% Value | 21% | 4.75 | 5.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.55 · Draw 2.88 · Away 3.10 |
| Goals 1.75 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
| Asian handicap 0 | Home 1.80 · Away 2.00 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.4
Patronato Parana
8.2
Expected corners
3.8
Quilmes
Patronato Parana corner stats · Quilmes corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 34%
Under 66%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 8.2 corners here; Patronato Parana are forecast for 4.4.
- Across 32 recent matches, Patronato Parana games produced 8.44 corners on average — 4.16 taken by Patronato Parana themselves.
- Patronato Parana games clear the 9.5 corner line 44% of the time.
- Quilmes matches average 8.16 total corners (4.59 won per game) across their last 32 with corner data.
- Quilmes games clear the 9.5 corner line 38% of the time.
- Patronato Parana matches average 1.34 goals, with both teams scoring in 28% of them.
- Games involving Quilmes produce 1.59 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 25%.
- The last 6 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.2 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 8.2 across their last 6 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 1.75 goals at 59% probability.
Patronato Parana — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | A | L Ferrocarril Midland | 0–1 | 1–6 |
| 2026-07-13 | A | D Gimnasia y Tiro | 1–1 | 4–6 |
| 2026-07-06 | H | L San Martin de Tucuman | 0–1 | 10–0 |
| 2026-06-22 | H | D Ferrocarril Midland | 1–1 | 6–2 |
| 2026-06-15 | H | D Atletico Rafaela | 0–0 | 7–5 |
| 2026-06-08 | A | D Agropecuario | 1–1 | 2–4 |
| 2026-06-01 | H | D Tristan Suarez | 1–1 | 6–1 |
| 2026-05-25 | A | L CA Guemes | 0–1 | 2–4 |
| 2026-05-18 | H | W Chacarita Juniors | 2–0 | 5–2 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | D San Martin SJ | 1–1 | 2–5 |
Quilmes — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | H | L CA Colegiales | 0–1 | 6–3 |
| 2026-07-13 | A | L Ferrocarril Midland | 0–1 | 3–3 |
| 2026-07-05 | H | W CA Atlanta | 2–1 | 8–5 |
| 2026-06-21 | A | L CA Colegiales | 1–3 | 8–2 |
| 2026-06-14 | H | W Gimnasia y Tiro | 1–0 | 8–0 |
| 2026-06-08 | A | D San Martin de Tucuman | 0–0 | 3–4 |
| 2026-06-01 | H | W Atletico Rafaela | 2–0 | 8–2 |
| 2026-05-25 | A | D Agropecuario | 0–0 | 6–6 |
| 2026-05-18 | H | L Tristan Suarez | 0–1 | 7–0 |
| 2026-05-11 | A | L CA Guemes | 1–2 | 2–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Patronato Parana vs Quilmes?
- Our model gives Patronato Parana a 37% chance, the draw 37% and Quilmes 26%. The most likely score is 0-0.
- How many corners are expected in Patronato Parana vs Quilmes?
- The corner model projects 8.2 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 34% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.