Brazil Paulista Cup
Paulista vs Osasco Sporting Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.39 – 0.93
Avg goals2.31
Our pickHome
Paulista 46%
Draw 30%
Osasco Sporting 24%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 46% | 2.16 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 76% | 1.31 | 1.25 |
| Goals | 2.25 | Under | 53% | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 53% | 1.87 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.5 | Away | 54% | 1.86 | 1.93 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 62% | 1.60 | 1.83 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.15 | 6.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.10 · Draw 3.10 · Away 3.20 |
| Goals 2.25 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
| Asian handicap -0.25 | Home 1.88 · Away 1.93 |
| Corners 9 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.8
Paulista
10.6
Expected corners
5.7
Osasco Sporting
Paulista corner stats · Osasco Sporting corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 62%
Under 38%
Match trends
- Our model projects 10.6 corners in this match, with Paulista winning 4.8 of them.
- Paulista win 4.58 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.21 over their last 24.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 58% of Paulista matches.
- Across 17 recent matches, Osasco Sporting games produced 10.35 corners on average — 5.29 taken by Osasco Sporting themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 47% of Osasco Sporting matches.
- Games involving Paulista produce 2.13 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 38%.
- Osasco Sporting matches average 2.53 goals, with both teams scoring in 71% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.25 (53%).
Paulista — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | L Juventus SP | 1–3 | 5–10 |
| 2026-07-19 | H | W Primavera SP | 1–0 | 4–4 |
| 2026-04-05 | A | L Portuguesa Santista | 0–1 | 2–8 |
| 2026-03-29 | H | W Portuguesa Santista | 2–1 | 4–9 |
| 2026-03-22 | A | W Catanduva | 3–1 | 2–13 |
| 2026-03-15 | H | W Uniao Sao Joao | 3–0 | 5–7 |
| 2026-03-12 | A | D Uniao Barbarense | 1–1 | 6–5 |
| 2026-03-07 | A | W Uniao Suzano | 2–0 | 2–7 |
| 2026-03-05 | H | D Bandeirante | 0–0 | 8–3 |
| 2026-03-02 | H | D Francana | 2–2 | 12–1 |
Osasco Sporting — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | L Primavera SP | 0–2 | 6–1 |
| 2026-07-19 | H | L Juventus SP | 0–1 | 12–5 |
| 2026-03-08 | A | L Agua Santa | 1–2 | 9–4 |
| 2026-03-01 | H | W Ituano | 2–0 | 5–3 |
| 2026-02-26 | A | W Inter de Limeira | 3–1 | 4–8 |
| 2026-02-22 | H | L Votuporanguense | 1–2 | 3–3 |
| 2026-02-19 | A | D Monte Azul | 1–1 | 5–4 |
| 2026-02-15 | A | W Sao Bento | 2–1 | 10–7 |
| 2026-02-12 | H | W Santo Andre | 2–1 | 4–4 |
| 2026-02-08 | A | D Linense | 2–2 | 3–7 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Paulista vs Osasco Sporting?
- Our model gives Paulista a 46% chance, the draw 30% and Osasco Sporting 24%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Paulista vs Osasco Sporting?
- The corner model projects 10.6 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 62% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.