Poland III Liga
Pelikan Lowicz vs LKS Lomza Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.15 – 1.99
Avg goals3.14
Our pickAway
Pelikan Lowicz 21%
Draw 24%
LKS Lomza 56%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 56% | 1.79 | 2.30 |
| Double chance | – | Draw or away | 79% | 1.26 | 1.46 |
| Goals | 3.25 | Under +6% Value | 57% | 1.76 | 1.88 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 60% | 1.67 | – |
| Asian handicap | 1.5 | Home +26% Value | 66% | 1.51 | 1.90 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 11% | 9.16 | 9.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.35 · Draw 4.00 · Away 2.30 |
| Goals 3.25 | Over 1.93 · Under 1.88 |
| Asian handicap 1.5 | Home 1.90 · Away 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Pelikan Lowicz win 7.80 corners per game, with match totals averaging 11.80 over their last 5.
- Pelikan Lowicz games clear the 9.5 corner line 80% of the time.
- Across 28 recent matches, LKS Lomza games produced 10.57 corners on average — 6.25 taken by LKS Lomza themselves.
- LKS Lomza games clear the 9.5 corner line 75% of the time.
- Pelikan Lowicz matches average 4.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.
- Games involving LKS Lomza produce 3.29 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 50%.
- The last 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.3 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 7.8 across their last 4 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 3.25 goals at 57% probability.
Pelikan Lowicz — last 5 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | H | W Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki | 2–1 | 4–8 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | W KS Kutno | 5–0 | 6–1 |
| 2026-05-20 | H | D Sokol Aleksandrow | 1–1 | 9–5 |
| 2025-09-17 | H | W Mazovia Rawa Mazowiecka | 4–1 | 11–4 |
| 2025-08-20 | A | L LKS Lodz III | 2–4 | 9–2 |
LKS Lomza — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-04 | H | L Gornik Polkowice | 2–3 | 9–2 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | W CK Troszyn | 2–0 | 5–5 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | W GKS Belchatow | 5–0 | 9–3 |
| 2026-05-13 | A | L Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki | 2–3 | 11–3 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | W Jagiellonia Bialystok II | 2–0 | 4–6 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | W Legia Warsaw II | 3–0 | 4–8 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | D Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 1–1 | 6–8 |
| 2026-04-13 | A | L Wigry Suwalki | 0–1 | 7–6 |
| 2026-04-04 | H | W Zabkovia Zabki | 3–0 | 5–7 |
| 2026-03-28 | A | W Olimpia Elblag | 3–0 | 10–1 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Pelikan Lowicz vs LKS Lomza?
- Our model gives Pelikan Lowicz a 21% chance, the draw 24% and LKS Lomza 56%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.