MathPredictions
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Wales Championship North

Penrhyncoch vs Porthmadog Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.36 – 1.24
Avg goals2.60
Our pickHome
Penrhyncoch 38% Draw 29% Porthmadog 33%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 38% 2.61 2.35
Double chance – Home or away 71% 1.41 1.20
Goals 2.5 Under 52% 1.93 2.00
Both teams to score – Yes 54% 1.85 –
Correct score – 1-1 14% 7.26 8.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.35  ·  Draw 3.60  ·  Away 2.45
Goals 3 Over 1.80  ·  Under 2.00

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Penrhyncoch win 5.45 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.00 over their last 29.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 45% of Penrhyncoch matches.
  • Games involving Penrhyncoch produce 3.34 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 62%.
  • The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 52% probability.

Penrhyncoch — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-04-18 H W CPD Y Rhyl 3–0 7–2
2026-04-11 H W Gresford Athletic 4–1 6–9
2026-04-06 A W Caersws 2–1 9–6
2026-03-28 H L Holywell Town 0–1 4–5
2026-03-21 A W Flint Mountain FC 3–2 5–4
2026-03-14 H W Holyhead Hotspur 1–0 4–3
2026-03-07 A W Buckley Town 2–0 4–4
2026-02-28 H L Llandudno 2–3 4–6
2026-02-14 H W Mold Alexandra FC 3–1 4–3
2026-02-05 H L Caersws 1–3 5–5

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Penrhyncoch vs Porthmadog?
Our model gives Penrhyncoch a 38% chance, the draw 29% and Porthmadog 33%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.