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Wales Premier League

Penybont vs The New Saints Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals0.99 – 1.77
Avg goals2.76
Our pickAway
Penybont 20% Draw 26% The New Saints 55%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 55% 1.83 1.65
Double chance – Draw or away 80% 1.25 1.16
Goals 2.5 Over 52% 1.92 2.00
Both teams to score – Yes 53% 1.88 1.67
Corners 9.5 Under 55% 1.81 1.80
Correct score – 1-1 12% 8.21 8.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 4.10  ·  Draw 3.90  ·  Away 1.65
Goals 3 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80
Corners 9 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

3.5 Penybont
9.1 Expected corners
5.6 The New Saints

Penybont corner stats · The New Saints corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 45% Under 55%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 9.1 corners in this match, with Penybont winning 3.5 of them.
  • Penybont matches average 8.43 total corners (4.12 won per game) across their last 42 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 24% of Penybont matches.
  • The New Saints win 5.98 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.59 over their last 44.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 52% of The New Saints matches.
  • Games involving Penybont produce 2.79 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 38%.
  • The New Saints matches average 3.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 46% of them.
  • Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 4 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 11.3 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.50 (52%).

Penybont — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-17 A L FC Santa Coloma 0–3 4–4
2026-07-10 H L FC Santa Coloma 0–1 3–2
2026-06-24 H W Trethomas Bluebirds AFC 3–0 5–0
2026-05-03 H W Haverfordwest 2–0 1–4
2026-04-25 A D Colwyn Bay 0–0 3–5
2026-04-19 A L Caernarfon 0–2 5–5
2026-04-03 H L Barry Town 0–2 3–5
2026-03-28 H D Colwyn Bay 0–0 1–6
2026-03-21 A L Connah's Quay 1–2 2–0
2026-03-14 H L The New Saints 1–2 9–7

The New Saints — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-31 H W FC Flora Tallinn 1–0 5–2
2026-07-24 A L FC Flora Tallinn 0–1 3–7
2026-07-15 H L Sabah 1–2 3–3
2026-07-08 A L Sabah 0–2 2–11
2026-06-27 A W HW Welders 2–1 2–1
2026-06-25 A D Glentoran 1–1 4–6
2026-04-19 A W Barry Town 1–0 6–3
2026-04-03 H W Connah's Quay 2–1 12–1
2026-03-28 A W Caernarfon 4–0 6–2
2026-03-21 H L Colwyn Bay 0–2 3–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Penybont vs The New Saints?
Our model gives Penybont a 20% chance, the draw 26% and The New Saints 55%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Penybont vs The New Saints?
The corner model projects 9.1 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 45% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.