Indonesia Cup
Persebaya Surabaya vs Port FC Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
LIVE 63′ 2–1
Corners3–2
Yellow cards1–1
Red cards0–1
Shots on target7–4
Shots off target10–4
Attacks47–55
Dangerous attacks26–32
Possession39%–61%
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.26 – 1.02
Avg goals2.28
Our pickHome
Persebaya Surabaya 41%
Draw 31%
Port FC 29%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 41% | 2.47 | 2.60 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 71% | 1.40 | 1.37 |
| Goals | 2.25 | Under | 54% | 1.87 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 53% | 1.89 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.25 | Away | 52% | 1.92 | 1.88 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 6.92 | 6.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.60 · Draw 2.88 · Away 2.75 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
| Asian handicap 0 | Home 1.93 · Away 1.88 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Persebaya Surabaya matches average 10.72 total corners (5.72 won per game) across their last 36 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 58% of Persebaya Surabaya matches.
- Port FC win 6.03 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.33 over their last 39.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 59% of Port FC matches.
- Games involving Persebaya Surabaya produce 2.72 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 47%.
- Port FC matches average 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 39% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.25 (54%).
Persebaya Surabaya — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | H | W PSMS Medan | 1–0 | 4–4 |
| 2026-07-26 | H | W Persija Jakarta | 1–0 | 7–5 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | W Persik Kediri | 5–0 | 4–1 |
| 2026-05-15 | A | W Semen Padang | 7–0 | 9–4 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | D Persis Solo | 0–0 | 6–3 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | W PSBS Biak | 4–0 | 9–1 |
| 2026-04-28 | A | W Arema FC | 4–0 | 3–3 |
| 2026-04-23 | A | W Malut United FC | 2–0 | 5–7 |
| 2026-04-17 | H | L Madura United | 1–2 | 13–3 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | L Persija Jakarta | 0–3 | 5–8 |
Port FC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | H | D Persija Jakarta | 2–2 | 4–7 |
| 2026-07-26 | A | W PSMS Medan | 2–0 | 9–3 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | W BG Pathum United | 1–0 | 6–6 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | W Ayutthaya United | 4–1 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | W Buriram United | 3–1 | 2–8 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | W Uthai Thani FC | 1–0 | 8–3 |
| 2026-04-19 | H | D BG Pathum United | 0–0 | 5–4 |
| 2026-04-08 | A | W Chonburi | 4–3 | 11–5 |
| 2026-04-04 | H | W Prachuap FC | 3–0 | 6–1 |
| 2026-03-22 | A | W Chiangrai Utd | 2–1 | 5–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Persebaya Surabaya vs Port FC?
- Our model gives Persebaya Surabaya a 41% chance, the draw 31% and Port FC 29%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.