MathPredictions
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USA MLS

Philadelphia vs Atlanta Utd Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.83 – 1.13
Avg goals2.96
Our pickHome
Philadelphia 53% Draw 25% Atlanta Utd 22%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 53% 1.90 1.70
Double chance – Home or draw 78% 1.29 1.18
Goals 3 Under 56% 1.80 1.85
Both teams to score – Yes 58% 1.73 1.57
Asian handicap -0.75 Away 53% 1.88 1.93
Corners 9.5 Over 50% 1.98 1.85
Correct score – 1-1 12% 8.49 7.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.70  ·  Draw 3.80  ·  Away 4.50
Goals 3 Over 1.95  ·  Under 1.85
Asian handicap -0.75 Home 1.88  ·  Away 1.93
Corners 9.5 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

6.2 Philadelphia
9.5 Expected corners
3.3 Atlanta Utd

Philadelphia corner stats · Atlanta Utd corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 50% Under 50%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 9.5 corners in this match, with Philadelphia winning 6.2 of them.
  • Across 36 recent matches, Philadelphia games produced 9.36 corners on average — 5.69 taken by Philadelphia themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 50% of Philadelphia matches.
  • Atlanta Utd matches average 9.38 total corners (4.38 won per game) across their last 32 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 50% of Atlanta Utd matches.
  • Games involving Philadelphia produce 3.17 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 47%.
  • Atlanta Utd matches average 2.91 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% of them.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.00 (56%).

Philadelphia — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 H W Seattle Sounders 1–0 6–1
2026-07-23 H W NY Red Bulls 3–1 8–6
2026-05-25 A L Inter Miami 4–6 2–4
2026-05-17 H D Columbus Crew 1–1 4–4
2026-05-14 A L Orlando City 3–4 10–2
2026-05-10 A L New England 1–2 3–9
2026-05-03 H D Nashville SC 0–0 5–2
2026-04-26 A L Columbus Crew 0–2 4–2
2026-04-23 A D Toronto FC 3–3 2–2
2026-04-19 H D DC United 0–0 13–1

Atlanta Utd — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 A L New England 1–4 6–4
2026-07-23 A D Charlotte FC 2–2 3–6
2026-07-18 A L Nashville SC 0–1 2–4
2026-05-25 A L Columbus Crew 0–2 3–2
2026-05-20 A L Orlando City 1–4 1–7
2026-05-17 A D Orlando City 1–1 10–4
2026-05-10 H L LA Galaxy 1–2 6–5
2026-05-03 H W CF Montreal 3–1 3–2
2026-04-29 A W Charlotte FC 2–0 2–6
2026-04-26 A W Toronto FC 2–1 7–8

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Philadelphia vs Atlanta Utd?
Our model gives Philadelphia a 53% chance, the draw 25% and Atlanta Utd 22%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Philadelphia vs Atlanta Utd?
The corner model projects 9.5 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 50% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.